{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ad210ec-ce4b-4336-9a47-f0d457f31da3", "symbol": "RACLGEAR", "name": "RACL Geartech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.626, "architecture_energy": 36.094, "architecture_maturity": 31.23, "architecture_confidence": 86.013, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.37, "rotation_up": 51.65, "upward_expansion": 74.81, "deceleration": 56.68, "rotation_down": 22.41, "downward_expansion": 8.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 1357.246663, 1339.947275, 1321.451431, 1309.174689 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1482.699951, "trend_reference": 1272.294041, "distance_from_trend": 0.165375, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1043.495275, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.420898, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 26.316842, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.422979, "excess_performance": 0.466688, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.165375, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070083, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.420898, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146229, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.263168, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054339, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.422979, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.31743, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 396498, "relative_activity": 3.24863, "balance": 1.31743, "dry_up": 1.721963, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089821, "annualized_volatility": 0.593955, "from_high_reference": -0.122781, "from_low_reference": 0.843685 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1272.294041, "fair_value_reference": 1043.495275, "structural_low": 1048.962174, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.08103, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.061156, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.169968, "worst_return": -0.007907, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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1315.5, "volume": 101186, "typical_volume": 114740.55, "trend": 1253.129142, "fair_value": 1035.844003, "relative_strength": 17.510103, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.973915, "energy": 21.995514, "activity_lines": [ 1322.766667, 1317.783643, 1306.737145, 1294.011436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1262.300049, "volume": 113665, "typical_volume": 110958.4, "trend": 1256.840434, "fair_value": 1038.446946, "relative_strength": 9.319747, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.862473, "energy": 10.456506, "activity_lines": [ 1300.593351, 1307.600013, 1303.676197, 1294.603107 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1482.699951, "volume": 396498, "typical_volume": 122050.85, "trend": 1272.294041, "fair_value": 1043.495275, "relative_strength": 26.316842, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.625755, "energy": 36.094246, "activity_lines": [ 1357.246663, 1339.947275, 1321.451431, 1309.174689 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }