{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ada44a4-d2d9-472c-a650-8a9d381e787b", "symbol": "000663", "name": "Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.276, "architecture_energy": 56.706, "architecture_maturity": 82.492, "architecture_confidence": 94.632, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 25.86, "upward_expansion": 9.79, "deceleration": 60.69, "rotation_down": 54.59, "downward_expansion": 83.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.112, 5.171636, 5.572286, 5.972086 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.38, "trend_reference": 6.533667, "distance_from_trend": -0.176573, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.617308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.186981, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.763709, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.312899, "excess_performance": -0.320299, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.176573, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125268, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.186981, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174773, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.247637, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036139, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.312899, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.270239, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29175975, "relative_activity": 1.054247, "balance": 0.270239, "dry_up": 1.200452, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089076, "annualized_volatility": 0.365202, "from_high_reference": -0.500928, "from_low_reference": 0.203579 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.533667, "fair_value_reference": 6.617308, "structural_low": 4.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.039313, "positive_rate": 0.227273, "directional_follow_through": 0.772727, "median_excess_return": -0.016445, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.159551, "worst_return": -0.231884, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.144536, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.094176, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.527778, "worst_return": -0.308642, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.048851, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048984, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.180912, "worst_return": -0.353535, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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5.557091, 6.00619, 6.407441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.01, "volume": 31569500, "typical_volume": 30888945.9, "trend": 6.789333, "fair_value": 6.735513, "relative_strength": -29.049909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.295919, "energy": 84.487217, "activity_lines": [ 5.166667, 5.402909, 5.870762, 6.286323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.72, "volume": 43143010, "typical_volume": 30006870.75, "trend": 6.691, "fair_value": 6.693782, "relative_strength": -32.731062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.76792, "energy": 70.539333, "activity_lines": [ 5.002, 5.230909, 5.724429, 6.152817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.11, "volume": 29000182, "typical_volume": 28153971.85, "trend": 6.600333, "fair_value": 6.655256, "relative_strength": -25.427914, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.606513, "energy": 64.785101, "activity_lines": [ 5.011333, 5.164364, 5.630619, 6.050817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.38, "volume": 29175975, "typical_volume": 27674714.9, "trend": 6.533667, "fair_value": 6.617308, "relative_strength": -24.763709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.275536, "energy": 56.705554, "activity_lines": [ 5.112, 5.171636, 5.572286, 5.972086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }