{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ae8591a-c342-47a5-b91f-29009b9b336e", "symbol": "ATLANTAA", "name": "Atlantaa Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.583, "architecture_energy": 50.572, "architecture_maturity": 6.508, "architecture_confidence": 85.211, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.96, "rotation_up": 14.29, "upward_expansion": 12.39, "deceleration": 36.82, "rotation_down": 64.87, "downward_expansion": 85.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.372666, 38.180181, 39.511285, 39.671677 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 40.130001, "trend_reference": 40.386333, "distance_from_trend": -0.006347, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.85859, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.088756, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.442167, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.118797, "excess_performance": -0.075088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006347, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03826, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.088756, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143257, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.024422, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118918, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.118797, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.371119, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 219506, "relative_activity": 0.726593, "balance": 0.371119, "dry_up": 0.556488, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093178, "annualized_volatility": 0.460187, "from_high_reference": -0.453195, "from_low_reference": 0.364502 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.386333, "fair_value_reference": 36.85859, "structural_low": 31.52, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.010351, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.047611, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.319669, "worst_return": -0.228916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.123754, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.082687, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.418685, "worst_return": -0.196145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.069498, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.006624, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.33218, "worst_return": -0.172289, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.097349, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.006783, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.841085, "worst_return": -0.055363, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.431579, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.206245, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.099348, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.075181, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.155121, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.022427, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.058568, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.199461, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.117537, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.01788, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.080396, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.214201, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.125497, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.140705, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 13.85, "volume": 89843, "typical_volume": 198134.0, "trend": 14.401667, "fair_value": 14.539744, "relative_strength": -21.494384, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", 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"relative_strength": -11.288274, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.664246, "energy": 64.425631, "activity_lines": [ 37.509999, 38.841454, 39.908666, 40.078838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.099998, "volume": 85371, "typical_volume": 309448.8, "trend": 40.614666, "fair_value": 36.69109, "relative_strength": -13.794589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.769839, "energy": 69.50087, "activity_lines": [ 36.444666, 37.982363, 39.472285, 39.702946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.130001, "volume": 219506, "typical_volume": 302102.9, "trend": 40.386333, "fair_value": 36.85859, "relative_strength": -2.442167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.583351, "energy": 50.572168, "activity_lines": [ 37.372666, 38.180181, 39.511285, 39.671677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }