{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0af8f53e-9e88-46bb-a0aa-5911be035cb0", "symbol": "CPLE3", "name": "Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.557, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.247, "architecture_energy": 10.771, "architecture_maturity": 37.405, "architecture_confidence": 70.31, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.84, "rotation_up": 21.96, "upward_expansion": 42.54, "deceleration": 77.16, "rotation_down": 37.59, "downward_expansion": 36.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.761333, 14.853636, 14.968029, 14.942319 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.67, "trend_reference": 14.673938, "distance_from_trend": -0.000268, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.93943, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.47594, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.710806, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.11153, "excess_performance": 0.168579, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.000268, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061278, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.47594, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195898, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.067108, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014853, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.11153, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.252022, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54481800, "relative_activity": 0.682144, "balance": 0.252022, "dry_up": 0.873469, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045042, "annualized_volatility": 0.210785, "from_high_reference": -0.130502, "from_low_reference": 0.450462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.673938, "fair_value_reference": 9.93943, "structural_low": 13.247266, "invalidation": "A 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"color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.018243, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.07037, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.059293, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.025054, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.176907, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.118457, "active": 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.223789, "energy": 15.00605, "activity_lines": [ 14.912, 14.844364, 15.075594, 14.795509 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.53, "volume": 68486300, "typical_volume": 94769195.0, "trend": 14.327835, "fair_value": 9.740404, "relative_strength": 10.340214, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.692344, "energy": 30.33808, "activity_lines": [ 15.16, 14.950909, 15.123838, 14.879674 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.8, "volume": 97305400, "typical_volume": 89564190.0, "trend": 14.425282, "fair_value": 9.793139, "relative_strength": 7.449318, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.123353, "energy": 22.270406, "activity_lines": [ 15.092, 14.931455, 15.096613, 14.910137 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.54, "volume": 65133400, "typical_volume": 87912785.0, "trend": 14.510064, "fair_value": 9.842243, "relative_strength": 5.151589, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.064109, "energy": 10.596453, "activity_lines": [ 14.924667, 14.876909, 15.042907, 14.917538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.83, "volume": 62129600, "typical_volume": 85623825.0, "trend": 14.60583, "fair_value": 9.892168, "relative_strength": 4.727415, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.145382, "energy": 7.447364, "activity_lines": [ 14.855333, 14.880727, 15.015355, 14.938179 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.67, "volume": 54481800, "typical_volume": 79868415.0, "trend": 14.673938, "fair_value": 9.93943, "relative_strength": 6.710806, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.247322, "energy": 10.770685, "activity_lines": [ 14.761333, 14.853636, 14.968029, 14.942319 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }