{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0b10b1b0-806d-40a7-b0b0-b46b22df34ac", "symbol": "BRKB", "name": "Berkshire Hathaway Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.613, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.134, "architecture_energy": 41.981, "architecture_maturity": 13.764, "architecture_confidence": 67.247, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.98, "rotation_up": 57.77, "upward_expansion": 75.38, "deceleration": 59.81, "rotation_down": 15.21, "downward_expansion": 4.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 8759.944792, 8715.792791, 8584.506001, 8559.820687 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 8913.230469, "trend_reference": 8545.192692, "distance_from_trend": 0.04307, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8329.638766, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.070062, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.01029, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.019822, "excess_performance": 0.074488, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04307, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01717, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.070062, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059391, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010103, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.168911, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.019822, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.618294, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1369, "relative_activity": 0.613722, "balance": 0.618294, "dry_up": 0.589178, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027945, "annualized_volatility": 0.136073, "from_high_reference": -0.062315, "from_low_reference": 0.106409 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8545.192692, "fair_value_reference": 8329.638766, "structural_low": 8056.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.004802, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.002423, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.033778, "worst_return": -0.043383, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.10483, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.124524, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.10483, "worst_return": -0.10483, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.089641, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.135255, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.089641, "worst_return": -0.089641, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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{ "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8750.009766, "volume": 1238, "typical_volume": 2330.45, "trend": 8546.918018, "fair_value": 8311.579277, "relative_strength": -3.039591, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.504608, "energy": 22.958513, "activity_lines": [ 8692.545964, 8658.071254, 8544.320959, 8536.187626 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8913.230469, "volume": 1369, "typical_volume": 2230.65, "trend": 8545.192692, "fair_value": 8329.638766, "relative_strength": -1.01029, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.133704, "energy": 41.980705, "activity_lines": [ 8759.944792, 8715.792791, 8584.506001, 8559.820687 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }