{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0b2e283a-0e57-404a-b730-931c354dd545", "symbol": "SST", "name": "System1 Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.716, "architecture_energy": 74.548, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.822, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.18, "rotation_up": 9.92, "upward_expansion": 16.61, "deceleration": 37.19, "rotation_down": 75.61, "downward_expansion": 92.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.798667, 2.097818, 2.518143, 2.684228 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.67, "trend_reference": 2.974033, "distance_from_trend": -0.438473, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.186294, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.818207, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -65.138954, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.543716, "excess_performance": -0.669341, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.438473, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170276, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.818207, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142337, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.65139, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.346686, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.543716, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.44149, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 276500, "relative_activity": 0.025897, "balance": 0.44149, "dry_up": 0.046495, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.409553, "annualized_volatility": 1.669731, "from_high_reference": -0.82043, "from_low_reference": 0.237037 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.974033, "fair_value_reference": 9.186294, "structural_low": 1.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.089237, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.104016, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 0.599483, "worst_return": -0.394578, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.188119, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.215858, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 1.30491, "worst_return": -0.619772, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.350923, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.394752, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.134367, "worst_return": -0.554507, "sufficient": true }, { 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2.567273, 2.826571, 2.957202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.83, "volume": 1098324, "typical_volume": 10676350.4, "trend": 3.154367, "fair_value": 9.463794, "relative_strength": -61.677764, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.209254, "energy": 65.149332, "activity_lines": [ 2.112, 2.404182, 2.727333, 2.865781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.74, "volume": 188211, "typical_volume": 10675952.35, "trend": 3.0697, "fair_value": 9.312128, "relative_strength": -63.142852, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.583666, "energy": 69.537887, "activity_lines": [ 1.941333, 2.246364, 2.625429, 2.774531 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.67, "volume": 276500, "typical_volume": 10677089.75, "trend": 2.974033, "fair_value": 9.186294, "relative_strength": -65.138954, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.716308, "energy": 74.547821, "activity_lines": [ 1.798667, 2.097818, 2.518143, 2.684228 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }