{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0b3a780c-bbb8-4e46-8b6a-7871aa81ed74", "symbol": "300862", "name": "Anhui Landun Photoelectron Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.275, "architecture_energy": 49.361, "architecture_maturity": 29.54, "architecture_confidence": 81.898, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.4, "rotation_up": 15.44, "upward_expansion": 6.77, "deceleration": 52.24, "rotation_down": 60.62, "downward_expansion": 77.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.543333, 18.964317, 20.663077, 21.417215 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.01, "trend_reference": 22.412729, "distance_from_trend": -0.151821, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.971551, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.206977, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.71918, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.173119, "excess_performance": -0.180519, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.151821, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068541, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.206977, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.249817, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.217192, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024819, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.173119, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.199386, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.199386, "dry_up": 0.832397, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121867, "annualized_volatility": 0.519932, "from_high_reference": -0.377334, "from_low_reference": 0.357857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.412729, "fair_value_reference": 23.971551, "structural_low": 14.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.059279, "positive_rate": 0.65, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": 0.029285, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.652649, "worst_return": -0.148329, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.014736, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020282, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.674198, "worst_return": -0.186097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.055002, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.051635, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.481084, "worst_return": -0.131055, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 18.85, "volume": 18613316, "typical_volume": 21698887.5, "trend": 23.045396, "fair_value": 24.055552, "relative_strength": -29.154497, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.382052, "energy": 78.712, "activity_lines": [ 19.801704, 21.126272, 22.19278, 22.607038 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.59, "volume": 22067431, "typical_volume": 21233992.4, "trend": 22.801729, "fair_value": 24.014985, "relative_strength": -34.840899, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.062158, "energy": 88.594992, "activity_lines": [ 18.268507, 19.894419, 21.51658, 22.126044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.01, "volume": 45301410, "typical_volume": 22248501.55, "trend": 22.673396, "fair_value": 24.000537, "relative_strength": -20.135518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.56208, "energy": 70.212669, "activity_lines": [ 18.234934, 19.454567, 21.209905, 21.881417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.01, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21220196.4, "trend": 22.541729, "fair_value": 23.985998, "relative_strength": -18.300343, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.812131, "energy": 61.596253, "activity_lines": [ 18.371642, 19.146351, 20.926467, 21.645068 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.01, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 20233388.7, "trend": 22.412729, "fair_value": 23.971551, "relative_strength": -21.71918, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.274628, "energy": 49.361282, "activity_lines": [ 18.543333, 18.964317, 20.663077, 21.417215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }