{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0b3f422e-ea9c-4e1b-9005-873e46a487f7", "symbol": "4061", "name": "Anaam International Holding Group Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.018, "architecture_energy": 22.627, "architecture_maturity": 39.029, "architecture_confidence": 75.828, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.61, "rotation_up": 37.5, "upward_expansion": 63.65, "deceleration": 84.07, "rotation_down": 22.72, "downward_expansion": 13.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.596667, 11.668364, 11.360238, 11.190667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.75, "trend_reference": 11.143667, "distance_from_trend": 0.054411, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.124359, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.351701, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.321243, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003393, "excess_performance": 0.028437, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054411, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031799, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.351701, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080436, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.043212, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146763, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003393, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.703735, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1468312, "relative_activity": 0.577414, "balance": 1.703735, "dry_up": 0.605086, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070376, "annualized_volatility": 0.289998, "from_high_reference": -0.329338, "from_low_reference": 0.262084 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.143667, "fair_value_reference": 18.124359, "structural_low": 9.31, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.04386, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.104003, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.055556, "worst_return": -0.356599, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.178182, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.250347, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.009259, "worst_return": -0.317259, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.338182, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.282315, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.385787, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.107914, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.072581, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.007937, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1592, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.020768, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", 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2423182, "typical_volume": 2505125.9, "trend": 11.152667, "fair_value": 18.356282, "relative_strength": -3.342243, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.822749, "energy": 61.527194, "activity_lines": [ 12.006, 11.574727, 11.223381, 11.126473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.36, "volume": 1279351, "typical_volume": 2490149.6, "trend": 11.140333, "fair_value": 18.268846, "relative_strength": -8.114656, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.836888, "energy": 48.492511, "activity_lines": [ 11.832, 11.602727, 11.264381, 11.139849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.31, "volume": 983877, "typical_volume": 2492555.5, "trend": 11.132, "fair_value": 18.196474, "relative_strength": -6.200647, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.982339, "energy": 29.444531, "activity_lines": [ 11.621333, 11.606, 11.295095, 11.150796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.75, "volume": 1468312, "typical_volume": 2542910.75, "trend": 11.143667, "fair_value": 18.124359, "relative_strength": -4.321243, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.017656, "energy": 22.627341, "activity_lines": [ 11.596667, 11.668364, 11.360238, 11.190667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }