{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0b5b97e2-6f0c-4512-9962-82c5c6aad9b2",
    "symbol": "ESF0",
    "name": "Eurofins Scientific SE",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.277,
    "architecture_energy": 73.678,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.838,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.356,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.09,
        "rotation_up": 69.47,
        "upward_expansion": 92.36,
        "deceleration": 42.79,
        "rotation_down": 15.41,
        "downward_expansion": 16.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        69.041334,
        68.414182,
        66.180785,
        65.34344
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 69.860001,
    "trend_reference": 65.108738,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.072974,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.101508,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.245243,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.756089,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.035264,
    "excess_performance": -0.029376,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072974,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041306,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.245243,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18522,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017561,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083372,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035264,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.654607,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2944,
      "relative_activity": 2.350781,
      "balance": 2.654607,
      "dry_up": 1.424322,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035015,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.330707,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034583,
      "from_low_reference": 0.266807
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 65.108738,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.101508,
      "structural_low": 57.299999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.038067,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014868,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.088552,
        "worst_return": -0.173794,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.065742,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.081777,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.069389,
        "worst_return": -0.110563,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.053313,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.093079,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.320788,
        "worst_return": -0.131213,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.064391,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.095317,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.175634,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "energy": 14.287293,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 58.380001,
        "volume": 1552,
        "typical_volume": 1451.5,
        "trend": 62.615077,
        "fair_value": 55.327747,
        "relative_strength": -6.824061,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.403191,
        "energy": 14.83123,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 1492.45,
        "trend": 62.510816,
        "fair_value": 55.338436,
        "relative_strength": -6.581105,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.286106,
        "energy": 28.332968,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1597.4,
        "trend": 62.446243,
        "fair_value": 55.348645,
        "relative_strength": -4.528527,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.612052,
        "energy": 54.613954,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 62.720001,
        "volume": 194,
        "typical_volume": 1589.35,
        "trend": 62.458209,
        "fair_value": 55.375983,
        "relative_strength": -2.564006,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.202147,
        "energy": 49.385643,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 1977,
        "typical_volume": 1520.4,
        "trend": 62.526038,
        "fair_value": 55.400769,
        "relative_strength": -4.008945,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.295028,
        "energy": 28.792305,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 65.800003,
        "volume": 22,
        "typical_volume": 1364.55,
        "trend": 62.806702,
        "fair_value": 55.456984,
        "relative_strength": 2.435386,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.447944,
        "energy": 10.820585,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 63.080002,
        "volume": 787,
        "typical_volume": 1329.15,
        "trend": 62.996701,
        "fair_value": 55.486873,
        "relative_strength": -1.324428,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 13.214045,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 63.740002,
        "volume": 94,
        "typical_volume": 1176.2,
        "trend": 63.211335,
        "fair_value": 55.547906,
        "relative_strength": -1.723269,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 7.324785,
        "energy": 15.475721,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 68.120003,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 1123.55,
        "trend": 63.569333,
        "fair_value": 55.637747,
        "relative_strength": 6.178288,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.049766,
        "energy": 30.799042,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.250669,
          63.599557,
          63.122921,
          63.540684
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 69.199997,
        "volume": 32,
        "typical_volume": 1057.75,
        "trend": 63.934341,
        "fair_value": 55.730665,
        "relative_strength": 3.121142,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.31139,
        "energy": 52.697806,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 68.82,
        "volume": 439,
        "typical_volume": 1020.8,
        "trend": 64.32292,
        "fair_value": 55.806278,
        "relative_strength": 5.248209,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.861859,
        "energy": 56.148264,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.721334,
          65.89091,
          64.208405,
          64.219157
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 69.339996,
        "volume": 71,
        "typical_volume": 996.4,
        "trend": 64.588496,
        "fair_value": 55.87531,
        "relative_strength": 6.802164,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.264358,
        "energy": 67.358958,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.637332,
          66.833454,
          64.758925,
          64.542839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 69.5,
        "volume": 3785,
        "typical_volume": 1148.3,
        "trend": 64.875876,
        "fair_value": 55.939421,
        "relative_strength": 5.993502,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.612979,
        "energy": 72.069742,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.189332,
          67.610909,
          65.31084,
          64.85971
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 67.580002,
        "volume": 335,
        "typical_volume": 1119.4,
        "trend": 65.066313,
        "fair_value": 56.007457,
        "relative_strength": 1.077353,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.858857,
        "energy": 64.382241,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.717333,
          67.849455,
          65.653338,
          65.03417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.860001,
        "volume": 2944,
        "typical_volume": 1252.35,
        "trend": 65.108738,
        "fair_value": 56.101508,
        "relative_strength": 1.756089,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.277212,
        "energy": 73.67805,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.041334,
          68.414182,
          66.180785,
          65.34344
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}