{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0b79d36f-32b5-444f-9221-501f20f48057", "symbol": "BUD", "name": "Anheuser Busch Inbev NV ADR", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.768, "architecture_energy": 43.0, "architecture_maturity": 39.743, "architecture_confidence": 81.983, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.74, "rotation_up": 49.8, "upward_expansion": 76.73, "deceleration": 59.25, "rotation_down": 22.58, "downward_expansion": 5.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.363333, 82.625455, 81.154838, 79.216535 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 83.76, "trend_reference": 76.855322, "distance_from_trend": 0.08984, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 62.382725, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.342679, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.912092, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.121097, "excess_performance": -0.004528, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08984, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092832, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.342679, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013241, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.069121, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000323, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.121097, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.279208, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8136926, "relative_activity": 0.868579, "balance": 1.279208, "dry_up": 0.936539, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048521, "annualized_volatility": 0.317387, "from_high_reference": -0.032794, "from_low_reference": 0.474849 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 76.855322, "fair_value_reference": 62.382725, "structural_low": 66.375021, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.010111, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.018518, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.129325, "worst_return": -0.165287, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.014916, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.131383, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.054129, "worst_return": -0.204657, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.005544, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.167016, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.224195, "worst_return": -0.062634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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75.437789, "fair_value": 61.980702, "relative_strength": 9.82807, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.138915, "energy": 25.581828, "activity_lines": [ 81.144, 81.322364, 79.724519, 78.018169 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.48, "volume": 13595458, "typical_volume": 9654843.15, "trend": 76.227532, "fair_value": 62.189851, "relative_strength": 14.513105, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.265387, "energy": 41.347163, "activity_lines": [ 82.753333, 82.248727, 80.605245, 78.73057 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 83.76, "volume": 8136926, "typical_volume": 9368089.95, "trend": 76.855322, "fair_value": 62.382725, "relative_strength": 6.912092, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.767883, "energy": 43.000222, "activity_lines": [ 83.363333, 82.625455, 81.154838, 79.216535 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }