{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0b8e702e-9379-4430-8bfb-e73820562e86", "symbol": "301018", "name": "Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.474, "architecture_energy": 23.518, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.704, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.91, "rotation_up": 20.56, "upward_expansion": 46.54, "deceleration": 82.26, "rotation_down": 46.9, "downward_expansion": 35.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.354666, 94.094181, 96.606688, 91.397793 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 86.68, "trend_reference": 82.085972, "distance_from_trend": 0.055966, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.632112, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.432637, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 29.651692, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.857026, "excess_performance": 0.849626, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055966, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.311905, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.432637, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.852113, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.296517, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.410106, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.857026, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.855731, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 77199101, "relative_activity": 1.095341, "balance": 0.855731, "dry_up": 1.22813, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.228374, "annualized_volatility": 0.972422, "from_high_reference": -0.348809, "from_low_reference": 1.779177 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.085972, "fair_value_reference": 35.632112, "structural_low": 45.62954, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.057549, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.042837, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.643789, "worst_return": -0.252343, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.042147, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.010866, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.794843, "worst_return": -0.269626, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.55841, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.489177, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.569039, "worst_return": 0.547781, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"close": 86.959999, "volume": 81627020, "typical_volume": 71902910.0, "trend": 78.386624, "fair_value": 34.534163, "relative_strength": 41.231387, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.369388, "energy": 31.721464, "activity_lines": [ 106.591332, 106.609492, 99.794222, 91.161384 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 85.400002, "volume": 88192261, "typical_volume": 71579537.1, "trend": 79.883996, "fair_value": 34.926609, "relative_strength": 35.94102, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.05975, "energy": 16.28998, "activity_lines": [ 98.478, 102.85658, 99.189842, 91.61386 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 70.559998, "volume": 99213648, "typical_volume": 70637657.1, "trend": 80.705038, "fair_value": 35.216571, "relative_strength": 12.699001, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": -8.143862, "energy": 18.899302, "activity_lines": [ 87.478666, 96.561356, 97.127295, 91.012312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 86.68, "volume": 77199101, "typical_volume": 70479494.05, "trend": 82.085972, "fair_value": 35.632112, "relative_strength": 29.651692, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.474369, "energy": 23.518238, "activity_lines": [ 84.354666, 94.094181, 96.606688, 91.397793 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }