{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0b9118b9-9462-4445-b990-6d9923b670c5", "symbol": "002107", "name": "Shandong Wohua Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 82.636, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.928, "architecture_energy": 29.905, "architecture_maturity": 25.938, "architecture_confidence": 70.249, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.36, "rotation_up": 22.1, "upward_expansion": 10.33, "deceleration": 58.53, "rotation_down": 39.66, "downward_expansion": 67.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.135333, 6.132727, 6.374762, 6.543608 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.3, "trend_reference": 6.760131, "distance_from_trend": -0.068065, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.389136, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169019, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.06283, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.11701, "excess_performance": -0.12441, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.068065, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001402, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.169019, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.208068, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.070628, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -4.9e-05, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.11701, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.609627, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52162248, "relative_activity": 0.619851, "balance": 0.609627, "dry_up": 0.936273, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082173, "annualized_volatility": 0.394356, "from_high_reference": -0.256198, "from_low_reference": 0.127013 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.760131, "fair_value_reference": 5.389136, "structural_low": 5.59, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.017413, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.014015, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.270054, "worst_return": -0.135424, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.062919, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.035146, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.315508, "worst_return": -0.135987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.136616, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.189983, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.286956, "worst_return": -0.046154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-44.670767, "energy": 30.539691, "activity_lines": [ 6.248667, 6.226909, 6.550381, 6.680148 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.8, "volume": 77274500, "typical_volume": 84156216.6, "trend": 6.753653, "fair_value": 5.379996, "relative_strength": -12.312606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.957204, "energy": 32.422648, "activity_lines": [ 6.134, 6.129455, 6.463476, 6.618277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.05, "volume": 46500190, "typical_volume": 83598661.55, "trend": 6.753704, "fair_value": 5.383911, "relative_strength": -6.686211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.131062, "energy": 33.575329, "activity_lines": [ 6.108, 6.101636, 6.405762, 6.57288 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.3, "volume": 52162248, "typical_volume": 84152944.9, "trend": 6.760131, "fair_value": 5.389136, "relative_strength": -7.06283, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.927999, "energy": 29.90458, "activity_lines": [ 6.135333, 6.132727, 6.374762, 6.543608 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }