{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0b9ce364-bfd4-4042-a779-8dc2022d6d9d", "symbol": "MGK", "name": "VANGUARD WORLD FUND MEGA CAP GROWTH ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.572, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.664, "architecture_energy": 29.053, "architecture_maturity": 45.807, "architecture_confidence": 57.791, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.66, "rotation_up": 38.36, "upward_expansion": 66.93, "deceleration": 73.33, "rotation_down": 24.18, "downward_expansion": 7.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 87.761333, 87.346698, 87.00302, 85.012466 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 90.79, "trend_reference": 82.79898, "distance_from_trend": 0.096511, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 67.423615, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.346561, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.019414, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.156191, "excess_performance": 0.030566, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.096511, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021101, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.346561, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030677, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010194, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015902, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.156191, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.241847, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6554506, "relative_activity": 1.000171, "balance": 1.241847, "dry_up": 1.072682, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05971, "annualized_volatility": 0.218467, "from_high_reference": -0.016238, "from_low_reference": 0.42438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.79898, "fair_value_reference": 67.423615, "structural_low": 63.74, "invalidation": "A 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52.341777, "energy": 33.67788, "activity_lines": [ 87.327243, 87.65944, 85.633308, 83.767503 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 86.83, "volume": 7562359, "typical_volume": 5932738.6, "trend": 82.34695, "fair_value": 66.643838, "relative_strength": -1.751692, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.225668, "energy": 21.650835, "activity_lines": [ 87.229488, 87.454595, 86.007051, 84.066324 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 84.81, "volume": 7191466, "typical_volume": 6156573.95, "trend": 82.387033, "fair_value": 66.880507, "relative_strength": -3.389219, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.177997, "energy": 20.312458, "activity_lines": [ 86.456, 86.904347, 86.142764, 84.225231 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.33, "volume": 6810447, "typical_volume": 6335542.25, "trend": 82.530817, "fair_value": 67.136317, "relative_strength": -2.64634, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.399629, "energy": 17.992785, "activity_lines": [ 86.434, 86.696687, 86.385886, 84.479616 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.79, "volume": 6554506, "typical_volume": 6553383.9, "trend": 82.79898, "fair_value": 67.423615, "relative_strength": -1.019414, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.663726, "energy": 29.05259, "activity_lines": [ 87.761333, 87.346698, 87.00302, 85.012466 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }