{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ba00a75-fb35-4a98-9575-3aa41c1bed64", "symbol": "8234", "name": "NEXCOM International Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.944, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -11.576, "architecture_energy": 5.144, "architecture_maturity": 21.29, "architecture_confidence": 55.084, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.9, "rotation_up": 22.55, "upward_expansion": 28.23, "deceleration": 52.87, "rotation_down": 36.79, "downward_expansion": 50.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.486667, 66.363637, 66.745715, 66.464947 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 69.400002, "trend_reference": 66.963334, "distance_from_trend": 0.036388, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 63.12363, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09943, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.540327, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.037369, "excess_performance": -0.404003, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036388, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033114, "read": "Falling" 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55.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.019809, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": 0.015365, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.149944, "worst_return": -0.132094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.135558, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.050939, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.501799, "worst_return": 0.027055, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.16661, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.195134, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.61211, "worst_return": 0.058036, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-53.047637, "energy": 33.035801, "activity_lines": [ 63.646667, 65.056364, 65.979048, 66.123441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.0, "volume": 4275539, "typical_volume": 5877631.15, "trend": 67.003334, "fair_value": 63.024287, "relative_strength": -33.189704, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.481232, "energy": 15.729899, "activity_lines": [ 65.133334, 65.747273, 66.400952, 66.310323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 69.400002, "volume": 5418455, "typical_volume": 6021065.4, "trend": 66.963334, "fair_value": 63.12363, "relative_strength": -34.540327, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.575906, "energy": 5.144038, "activity_lines": [ 66.486667, 66.363637, 66.745715, 66.464947 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }