{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ba61848-a77a-40d1-9711-3828e5a30d35", "symbol": "INOXWIND", "name": "Inox Wind Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.537, "architecture_energy": 81.65, "architecture_maturity": 27.679, "architecture_confidence": 85.559, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.28, "rotation_up": 9.05, "upward_expansion": 19.33, "deceleration": 37.07, "rotation_down": 81.14, "downward_expansion": 97.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 78.154667, 81.356546, 86.233333, 87.789161 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 78.0, "trend_reference": 91.333666, "distance_from_trend": -0.145989, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 136.521108, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.42866, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.319449, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.266917, "excess_performance": -0.223208, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.145989, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149989, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.42866, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.208641, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.293194, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100128, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.266917, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.32009, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42719012, "relative_activity": 0.816781, "balance": 0.32009, "dry_up": 0.971967, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070592, "annualized_volatility": 0.361416, "from_high_reference": -0.510358, "from_low_reference": 0.056767 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.333666, "fair_value_reference": 136.521108, "structural_low": 73.809998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.025163, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.030716, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.263151, "worst_return": -0.160627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.030606, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.072522, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.854179, "worst_return": -0.356112, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.148707, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.139432, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.976092, "worst_return": -0.328914, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 94.189999, "fair_value": 136.197695, "relative_strength": -29.564575, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.035544, "energy": 81.086697, "activity_lines": [ 80.712001, 84.240364, 88.244809, 89.761849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.139999, "volume": 74042104, "typical_volume": 53795579.65, "trend": 92.526666, "fair_value": 136.356605, "relative_strength": -29.423121, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.074083, "energy": 80.97519, "activity_lines": [ 79.077334, 82.664182, 87.242285, 88.726365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 78.0, "volume": 42719012, "typical_volume": 52301679.8, "trend": 91.333666, "fair_value": 136.521108, "relative_strength": -29.319449, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.537203, "energy": 81.650441, "activity_lines": [ 78.154667, 81.356546, 86.233333, 87.789161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }