{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0bbb2724-bd59-4fef-8208-72e2741dbe60", "symbol": "LUN", "name": "Lundin Mining Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.991, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 10.252, "architecture_energy": 7.346, "architecture_maturity": 23.559, "architecture_confidence": 50.251, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.99, "rotation_up": 28.34, "upward_expansion": 26.09, "deceleration": 69.73, "rotation_down": 38.79, "downward_expansion": 30.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.742666, 35.505273, 36.298107, 36.266681 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.66, "trend_reference": 36.120051, "distance_from_trend": 0.042634, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.339928, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.053443, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.696711, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126883, "excess_performance": 0.006461, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042634, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083661, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.053443, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.247683, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.116967, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.253462, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126883, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.138558, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13054500, "relative_activity": 1.352714, "balance": 1.138558, "dry_up": 1.152421, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09143, "annualized_volatility": 0.621431, "from_high_reference": -0.175902, "from_low_reference": 1.540337 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.120051, "fair_value_reference": 18.339928, "structural_low": 29.223444, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.018843, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.008303, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.190302, "worst_return": -0.123701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.058217, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.051085, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.274679, "worst_return": -0.164479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.287159, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.235366, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.092286, "worst_return": -0.260226, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": 11.817905, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.214252, "energy": 27.638851, "activity_lines": [ 34.73, 35.527836, 36.283298, 36.226416 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.709999, "volume": 10504400, "typical_volume": 9933275.0, "trend": 35.956725, "fair_value": 18.165195, "relative_strength": 7.356105, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.463454, "energy": 23.275141, "activity_lines": [ 34.777333, 35.220053, 36.150991, 36.156793 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.66, "volume": 13054500, "typical_volume": 9650600.0, "trend": 36.120051, "fair_value": 18.339928, "relative_strength": 11.696711, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.251807, "energy": 7.346125, "activity_lines": [ 35.742666, 35.505273, 36.298107, 36.266681 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }