{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0bbb7337-78e8-4736-9232-f1f138b9622d", "symbol": "DHAMPURSUG", "name": "Dhampur Sugar Mills Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 56.651, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.044, "architecture_energy": 32.116, "architecture_maturity": 33.271, "architecture_confidence": 80.831, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.37, "rotation_up": 49.71, "upward_expansion": 75.69, "deceleration": 59.05, "rotation_down": 23.61, "downward_expansion": 4.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 143.393998, 142.396908, 142.336341, 139.284464 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 150.889999, "trend_reference": 133.529937, "distance_from_trend": 0.130009, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 178.688956, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155572, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.112159, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.297452, "excess_performance": 0.341161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.130009, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046213, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155572, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05532, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.151122, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008046, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.297452, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.83499, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3839249, "relative_activity": 1.57464, "balance": 0.83499, "dry_up": 0.742215, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063004, "annualized_volatility": 0.322778, "from_high_reference": -0.085229, "from_low_reference": 0.390868 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 133.529937, "fair_value_reference": 178.688956, "structural_low": 109.482311, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.010109, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.024566, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.17869, "worst_return": -0.102432, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.030916, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.057151, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.055523, "worst_return": -0.010062, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.028543, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.181504, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.380013, "worst_return": -0.154191, "sufficient": false }, { 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"typical_volume": 2602395.15, "trend": 131.212966, "fair_value": 181.122505, "relative_strength": 10.061446, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.290569, "energy": 24.143359, "activity_lines": [ 141.908002, 141.58686, 141.362666, 137.157911 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 142.119995, "volume": 1051524, "typical_volume": 2476952.25, "trend": 131.936309, "fair_value": 180.304137, "relative_strength": 12.350197, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.988824, "energy": 23.553787, "activity_lines": [ 142.182, 141.708877, 141.719429, 137.86159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 135.479996, "volume": 931407, "typical_volume": 2358259.05, "trend": 132.379145, "fair_value": 179.404323, "relative_strength": 4.390881, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.012352, "energy": 10.743739, "activity_lines": [ 140.177332, 140.579454, 141.337659, 138.090215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 150.889999, "volume": 3839249, "typical_volume": 2438175.1, "trend": 133.529937, "fair_value": 178.688956, "relative_strength": 15.112159, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.043735, "energy": 32.116013, "activity_lines": [ 143.393998, 142.396908, 142.336341, 139.284464 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }