{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0bd10c93-ab2e-4567-b3a0-34154c761f29", "symbol": "CORE-A", "name": "Corem Property Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.731, "architecture_energy": 16.54, "architecture_maturity": 47.668, "architecture_confidence": 59.329, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.25, "rotation_up": 25.29, "upward_expansion": 15.53, "deceleration": 61.62, "rotation_down": 34.31, "downward_expansion": 63.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.461333, 3.395544, 3.499999, 3.60043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.0, "trend_reference": 3.764595, "distance_from_trend": 0.062531, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.324805, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.367569, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.856773, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.003248, "excess_performance": -0.058246, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062531, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068022, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.367569, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011078, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.138568, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057634, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.003248, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.125036, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 168353, "relative_activity": 3.729017, "balance": 1.125036, "dry_up": 1.945511, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103789, "annualized_volatility": 0.679902, "from_high_reference": -0.287062, "from_low_reference": 0.470588 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.764595, "fair_value_reference": 6.324805, "structural_low": 2.72, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.015857, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": -0.026699, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.342183, "worst_return": -0.295775, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.067925, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.153032, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.563422, "worst_return": -0.439944, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.171033, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.192212, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.202523, "worst_return": -0.573802, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.266775, "energy": 38.083321, "activity_lines": [ 3.446787, 3.463049, 3.626916, 3.737189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.95, "volume": 33699, "typical_volume": 33962.6, "trend": 3.868562, "fair_value": 6.398317, "relative_strength": -35.587271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.526526, "energy": 49.507498, "activity_lines": [ 3.278738, 3.350393, 3.553456, 3.675395 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.76, "volume": 74733, "typical_volume": 35900.25, "trend": 3.816751, "fair_value": 6.370669, "relative_strength": -39.906903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.875512, "energy": 71.314223, "activity_lines": [ 3.089333, 3.223861, 3.467595, 3.603875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.55, "volume": 74549, "typical_volume": 38184.4, "trend": 3.786644, "fair_value": 6.348681, "relative_strength": -22.906298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.435652, "energy": 43.171874, "activity_lines": [ 3.201333, 3.264908, 3.461776, 3.586665 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.0, "volume": 168353, "typical_volume": 45146.75, "trend": 3.764595, "fair_value": 6.324805, "relative_strength": -13.856773, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.730684, "energy": 16.540472, "activity_lines": [ 3.461333, 3.395544, 3.499999, 3.60043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }