{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0bd1d19f-4a02-4f0b-aeab-a41c595cbb29", "symbol": "300440", "name": "Chengdu Yunda Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.967, "architecture_energy": 25.895, "architecture_maturity": 68.325, "architecture_confidence": 89.691, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.42, "rotation_up": 26.36, "upward_expansion": 53.8, "deceleration": 85.47, "rotation_down": 43.62, "downward_expansion": 26.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.398, 18.484545, 18.479376, 17.939838 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 19.0, "trend_reference": 17.016564, "distance_from_trend": 0.116559, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.810309, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.936738, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.526304, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.326607, "excess_performance": 0.319207, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116559, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151004, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.936738, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.246334, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.215263, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00232, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.326607, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.508075, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 66150285, "relative_activity": 1.252317, "balance": 0.508075, "dry_up": 1.150877, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135479, "annualized_volatility": 0.672089, "from_high_reference": -0.132024, "from_low_reference": 0.682869 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.016564, "fair_value_reference": 9.810309, "structural_low": 12.925933, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.05625, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.04257, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.288026, "worst_return": -0.295736, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.18123, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.126573, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.309801, "worst_return": -0.254438, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.19651, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.185616, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.511477, "worst_return": -0.376658, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"up", "direction": 73.174106, "energy": 77.561581, "activity_lines": [ 20.786, 19.897698, 18.729147, 17.781986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.52, "volume": 56070035, "typical_volume": 51703335.9, "trend": 16.58038, "fair_value": 9.623734, "relative_strength": 31.434449, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.778862, "energy": 56.661516, "activity_lines": [ 20.486, 19.931129, 18.888432, 17.988093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.7, "volume": 70202685, "typical_volume": 51706290.75, "trend": 16.705097, "fair_value": 9.68072, "relative_strength": 4.925286, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.913129, "energy": 13.943965, "activity_lines": [ 18.891333, 19.265636, 18.675779, 17.931295 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.63, "volume": 50745117, "typical_volume": 51968195.8, "trend": 16.792486, "fair_value": 9.730784, "relative_strength": -0.892074, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.514789, "energy": 17.525083, "activity_lines": [ 17.192, 18.450545, 18.365442, 17.797417 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.0, "volume": 66150285, "typical_volume": 52822335.05, "trend": 17.016564, "fair_value": 9.810309, "relative_strength": 21.526304, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.966656, "energy": 25.895344, "activity_lines": [ 17.398, 18.484545, 18.479376, 17.939838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }