{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0be1dff4-1838-4b79-8249-2d9bd87d4022", "symbol": "MGT", "name": "Amundi DJ Global Titans 50 UCITS ETF Dist", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.796, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.637, "architecture_energy": 54.725, "architecture_maturity": 36.708, "architecture_confidence": 74.961, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.65, "rotation_up": 51.38, "upward_expansion": 78.89, "deceleration": 67.35, "rotation_down": 26.73, "downward_expansion": 7.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 106.035998, 105.40089, 104.413948, 102.183011 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 108.639999, "trend_reference": 99.525034, "distance_from_trend": 0.091585, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 81.229981, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.337437, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.621091, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.152985, "excess_performance": 0.099674, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.091585, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036948, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.337437, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00631, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.056211, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069369, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.152985, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.976075, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12735, "relative_activity": 1.162647, "balance": 2.976075, "dry_up": 0.841128, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024503, "annualized_volatility": 0.153207, "from_high_reference": -0.003303, "from_low_reference": 0.296579 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.525034, "fair_value_reference": 81.229981, "structural_low": 88.539001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.022637, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.012556, "regime_survival": 0.871795, "best_return": 0.082916, "worst_return": -0.099574, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.036114, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.068091, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.156211, "worst_return": -0.209441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.111456, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.072397, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.183059, "worst_return": -0.09193, "sufficient": true }, { 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100.825597 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 104.349998, "volume": 8710, "typical_volume": 10948.8, "trend": 98.795768, "fair_value": 80.609704, "relative_strength": 6.106948, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.295408, "energy": 49.146409, "activity_lines": [ 104.933333, 104.820092, 103.363982, 101.20458 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 104.449997, "volume": 10516, "typical_volume": 10814.65, "trend": 99.128534, "fair_value": 80.903873, "relative_strength": 4.26208, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.842887, "energy": 43.472289, "activity_lines": [ 104.847332, 104.715491, 103.714501, 101.569368 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.639999, "volume": 12735, "typical_volume": 10953.45, "trend": 99.525034, "fair_value": 81.229981, "relative_strength": 5.621091, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.636537, "energy": 54.72501, "activity_lines": [ 106.035998, 105.40089, 104.413948, 102.183011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }