{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0c182d09-480b-40e0-be36-ea349024bb17",
    "symbol": "SPHQ",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P 500 QUALITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.952,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.105,
    "architecture_energy": 23.946,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.333,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.112,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.99,
        "rotation_up": 26.3,
        "upward_expansion": 58.59,
        "deceleration": 88.3,
        "rotation_down": 30.17,
        "downward_expansion": 19.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        85.374,
        86.100515,
        85.206616,
        83.542958
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 85.97,
    "trend_reference": 81.553117,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.05416,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 66.841125,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286184,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.718612,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.080549,
    "excess_performance": -0.045076,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05416,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050836,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.286184,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004839,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017186,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003167,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080549,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.915103,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6140385,
      "relative_activity": 0.792734,
      "balance": 1.915103,
      "dry_up": 0.959884,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03293,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.141706,
      "from_high_reference": -0.048583,
      "from_low_reference": 0.215776
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 81.553117,
      "fair_value_reference": 66.841125,
      "structural_low": 73.2124,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.042402,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004032,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.086846,
        "worst_return": 0.01723,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.086973,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019313,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.171907,
        "worst_return": 0.07058,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.123895,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -1.6e-05,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.147476,
        "worst_return": 0.024259,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.012169,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009045,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.153087,
        "worst_return": -0.177425,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037822,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02254,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.001856,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007726,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050282,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.095079,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00969,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.012986,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.006272,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.086846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0519,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015354,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8040917.6,
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        "fair_value": 66.381549,
        "relative_strength": 1.402572,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 46.645948,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 84.67,
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        "typical_volume": 7877635.3,
        "trend": 81.256142,
        "fair_value": 66.607015,
        "relative_strength": 0.161233,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.713894,
        "energy": 24.706441,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 85.97,
        "volume": 6140385,
        "typical_volume": 7745837.3,
        "trend": 81.553117,
        "fair_value": 66.841125,
        "relative_strength": -1.718612,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}