{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0c273ec8-78fd-431d-b9a4-6639613b0dba", "symbol": "SMXT", "name": "Solarmax Technology Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.366, "architecture_energy": 39.752, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 63.543, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.77, "rotation_up": 25.22, "upward_expansion": 17.04, "deceleration": 66.35, "rotation_down": 43.92, "downward_expansion": 67.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.359733, 0.359367, 0.422684, 0.487058 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.3801, "trend_reference": 0.580273, "distance_from_trend": -0.344964, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.153537, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.8235, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -56.854432, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.537028, "excess_performance": -0.724482, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.344964, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.228961, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.8235, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075797, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.568544, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097561, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.537028, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.091408, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 690323, "relative_activity": 0.205513, "balance": 0.091408, "dry_up": 0.280135, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.280046, "annualized_volatility": 0.780125, "from_high_reference": -0.705349, "from_low_reference": 0.29727 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.580273, "fair_value_reference": 2.153537, "structural_low": 0.293, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.120172, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.158757, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.163823, "worst_return": -0.468529, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.257031, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.340941, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.248419, "worst_return": -0.265644, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.448072, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.614089, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.448072, "worst_return": -0.448072, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.977875, "energy": 79.196844, "activity_lines": [ 0.354773, 0.406375, 0.489558, 0.554843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.3568, "volume": 662882, "typical_volume": 3315336.5, "trend": 0.62671, "fair_value": 2.196693, "relative_strength": -60.301226, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.966087, "energy": 71.643962, "activity_lines": [ 0.353973, 0.38894, 0.470457, 0.536454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.341, "volume": 689367, "typical_volume": 3309535.15, "trend": 0.611437, "fair_value": 2.181965, "relative_strength": -60.646015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.172598, "energy": 53.073778, "activity_lines": [ 0.350527, 0.372927, 0.451539, 0.518022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.345, "volume": 1721351, "typical_volume": 3373755.3, "trend": 0.593603, "fair_value": 2.167501, "relative_strength": -59.666039, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.680759, "energy": 48.015037, "activity_lines": [ 0.351013, 0.361278, 0.434592, 0.500832 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3801, "volume": 690323, "typical_volume": 3359030.85, "trend": 0.580273, "fair_value": 2.153537, "relative_strength": -56.854432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.366349, "energy": 39.75232, "activity_lines": [ 0.359733, 0.359367, 0.422684, 0.487058 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }