{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0c606097-05bc-4d7e-a3d2-3216b4b85efa",
    "symbol": "BSET100",
    "name": "BCAP SET100 ETF",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.253,
    "architecture_energy": 82.247,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.364,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.906,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.37,
        "rotation_up": 73.94,
        "upward_expansion": 94.71,
        "deceleration": 44.12,
        "rotation_down": 15.2,
        "downward_expansion": 19.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.099333,
        11.939636,
        11.632952,
        11.362129
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 12.09,
    "trend_reference": 10.945667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.104547,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.346859,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.293483,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.844187,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.234934,
    "excess_performance": 0.042609,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104547,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092309,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.293483,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097893,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038442,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010076,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234934,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.154875,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 314800,
      "relative_activity": 0.081567,
      "balance": 4.154875,
      "dry_up": 3.277303,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019024,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.167883,
      "from_high_reference": -0.018669,
      "from_low_reference": 0.399306
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.945667,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.346859,
      "structural_low": 9.55,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.009597,
        "positive_rate": 0.541667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.541667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00355,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.161426,
        "worst_return": -0.046931,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.005946,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008014,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.142558,
        "worst_return": -0.049659,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.013283,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012082,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.266286,
        "worst_return": -0.179959,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.07771,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027802,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.030723,
        "worst_return": -0.121504,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "relative_strength": 2.552763,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 9.230769,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.560459,
        "energy": 86.425583,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1585805.55,
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        "fair_value": 9.277244,
        "relative_strength": 2.377337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.8398,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1961436.35,
        "trend": 10.536,
        "fair_value": 9.290833,
        "relative_strength": 2.142114,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.042719,
        "energy": 88.627383,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.11,
        "volume": 11550530,
        "typical_volume": 2322847.85,
        "trend": 10.639333,
        "fair_value": 9.305256,
        "relative_strength": 2.824957,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.579941,
        "energy": 93.521209,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.848,
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          11.364619,
          11.095376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.15,
        "volume": 26619022,
        "typical_volume": 3595890.8,
        "trend": 10.742333,
        "fair_value": 9.319167,
        "relative_strength": 2.766592,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.708243,
        "energy": 91.734117,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.989333,
          11.785818,
          11.465667,
          11.192839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.12,
        "volume": 12109600,
        "typical_volume": 3866617.05,
        "trend": 10.843667,
        "fair_value": 9.333013,
        "relative_strength": 3.544114,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.880343,
        "energy": 87.952465,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.076,
          11.873818,
          11.555,
          11.28172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.09,
        "volume": 314800,
        "typical_volume": 3859419.7,
        "trend": 10.945667,
        "fair_value": 9.346859,
        "relative_strength": 3.844187,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.252566,
        "energy": 82.246757,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.099333,
          11.939636,
          11.632952,
          11.362129
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}