{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0c62dd35-557e-454d-8b4e-fe58e2b60b02", "symbol": "UFG", "name": "Uni-Fuels Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.98, "architecture_energy": 63.337, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.283, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.68, "rotation_up": 15.03, "upward_expansion": 11.7, "deceleration": 39.9, "rotation_down": 71.11, "downward_expansion": 89.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.639213, 0.68784, 0.727442, 0.782172 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.495, "trend_reference": 0.873033, "distance_from_trend": -0.433011, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.443139, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.797392, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -74.603123, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.486408, "excess_performance": -0.673862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.433011, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077103, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.797392, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080923, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.746031, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046902, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.486408, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.167262, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 843919, "relative_activity": 0.576831, "balance": 0.167262, "dry_up": 0.222123, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.301678, "annualized_volatility": 0.837932, "from_high_reference": -0.955, "from_low_reference": 0.108126 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.873033, "fair_value_reference": 2.443139, "structural_low": 0.4467, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.739, "volume": 185452, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.7005, "volume": 177798, "typical_volume": 1530330.8, "trend": 0.900027, "fair_value": 2.489278, "relative_strength": -64.304117, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.244555, "energy": 35.384342, "activity_lines": [ 0.725873, 0.736964, 0.764634, 0.821142 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.7002, "volume": 92718, "typical_volume": 1462828.35, "trend": 0.8992, "fair_value": 2.46719, "relative_strength": -63.508649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.067039, "energy": 35.379137, "activity_lines": [ 0.71176, 0.730911, 0.755072, 0.80825 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.495, "volume": 843919, "typical_volume": 1463026.55, "trend": 0.873033, "fair_value": 2.443139, "relative_strength": -74.603123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.979945, "energy": 63.336862, "activity_lines": [ 0.639213, 0.68784, 0.727442, 0.782172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }