{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0c65ab82-574a-4451-bb41-afe93e9d18c9", "symbol": "HAFN", "name": "Hafnia Limited", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.394, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.199, "architecture_energy": 20.815, "architecture_maturity": 34.876, "architecture_confidence": 58.767, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.82, "rotation_up": 48.18, "upward_expansion": 59.7, "deceleration": 66.02, "rotation_down": 13.22, "downward_expansion": 14.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.535333, 7.396909, 7.55143, 7.489134 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.51, "trend_reference": 7.22412, "distance_from_trend": 0.039573, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.165655, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.453833, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.685079, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.277852, "excess_performance": 0.152227, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039573, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097063, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.453833, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.395513, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.036851, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.291531, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.277852, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.512425, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5098506, "relative_activity": 0.633397, "balance": 0.512425, "dry_up": 0.669946, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073265, "annualized_volatility": 0.353024, "from_high_reference": -0.183031, "from_low_reference": 0.573966 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.22412, "fair_value_reference": 5.165655, "structural_low": 6.06071, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.048668, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.041777, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.442561, "worst_return": -0.140083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.021928, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.058168, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.582142, "worst_return": -0.206272, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.002222, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.255644, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.440721, "worst_return": -0.436276, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.129518, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.069878, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.07393, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.027054, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.126679, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.172474, "active": 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"close": 7.51, "volume": 5098506, "typical_volume": 8049464.4, "trend": 7.22412, "fair_value": 5.165655, "relative_strength": 3.685079, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.19854, "energy": 20.814594, "activity_lines": [ 7.535333, 7.396909, 7.55143, 7.489134 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }