{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0c6b806d-173d-4dca-b979-041464c83d14", "symbol": "4323", "name": "Sumou Real Estate Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.555, "architecture_energy": 77.937, "architecture_maturity": 12.251, "architecture_confidence": 77.8, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.96, "rotation_up": 8.45, "upward_expansion": 18.05, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 77.91, "downward_expansion": 93.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.333333, 27.158182, 27.967054, 28.160633 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 26.379999, "trend_reference": 28.615821, "distance_from_trend": -0.078132, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.423611, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.330858, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.681974, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.138461, "excess_performance": -0.106631, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.078132, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069821, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.330858, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030665, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.15682, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008513, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.138461, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.832655, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 237905, "relative_activity": 0.54031, "balance": 1.832655, "dry_up": 0.506593, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046247, "annualized_volatility": 0.202777, "from_high_reference": -0.36123, "from_low_reference": 0.107693 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.615821, "fair_value_reference": 39.423611, 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{ "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.027996, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.009184, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.097789, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.026607, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.045402, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-10-10", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.4, "volume": 192029, "typical_volume": 438238.2, "trend": 29.003881, "fair_value": 39.712759, "relative_strength": -16.519463, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.177882, "energy": 75.131968, "activity_lines": [ 27.321333, 28.014909, 28.45436, 28.546019 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.42, "volume": 321697, "typical_volume": 434602.2, "trend": 28.769597, "fair_value": 39.560919, "relative_strength": -17.409712, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.126447, "energy": 84.757555, "activity_lines": [ 26.561333, 27.466182, 28.161228, 28.314801 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.379999, "volume": 237905, "typical_volume": 440311.75, "trend": 28.615821, "fair_value": 39.423611, "relative_strength": -15.681974, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.555358, "energy": 77.937455, "activity_lines": [ 26.333333, 27.158182, 27.967054, 28.160633 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }