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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.708, "architecture_energy": 90.112, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.213, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.87, "rotation_up": 81.29, "upward_expansion": 93.09, "deceleration": 45.0, "rotation_down": 9.02, "downward_expansion": 19.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 861.333333, 794.691636, 741.720668, 691.476518 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 996.0, "trend_reference": 625.634668, "distance_from_trend": 0.591983, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 512.064183, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.945069, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.182974, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.085777, "excess_performance": 0.644405, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.591983, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125285, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.945069, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.667359, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.17183, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.473243, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.085777, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.927128, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27308238, "relative_activity": 1.165715, "balance": 4.927128, "dry_up": 1.036159, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088865, "annualized_volatility": 0.529034, "from_high_reference": -0.028293, "from_low_reference": 1.162397 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 625.634668, "fair_value_reference": 512.064183, "structural_low": 470.0, 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{ "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 810.0, "volume": 28099249, "typical_volume": 22937542.45, "trend": 599.166669, "fair_value": 504.59294, "relative_strength": -0.114021, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.316687, "energy": 52.684026, "activity_lines": [ 751.8, 733.806909, 694.225431, 652.455658 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 817.0, "volume": 21102743, "typical_volume": 22939686.3, "trend": 609.010002, "fair_value": 507.682901, "relative_strength": -0.93177, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.441804, "energy": 67.660185, "activity_lines": [ 781.466667, 748.900727, 710.091907, 666.509422 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 996.0, "volume": 27308238, "typical_volume": 23426174.75, "trend": 625.634668, "fair_value": 512.064183, "relative_strength": 17.182974, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.707786, "energy": 90.112428, "activity_lines": [ 861.333333, 794.691636, 741.720668, 691.476518 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }