{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0c9ff8bb-22ed-401b-bb02-5b0cb3fa106f", "symbol": "EZJ", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST ULTRA MSCI JAPAN", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.054, "architecture_energy": 27.58, "architecture_maturity": 41.11, "architecture_confidence": 93.182, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.03, "rotation_up": 35.0, "upward_expansion": 62.43, "deceleration": 92.08, "rotation_down": 31.57, "downward_expansion": 16.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.732347, 64.609872, 63.655496, 62.314896 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 69.1157, "trend_reference": 61.050921, "distance_from_trend": 0.132099, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.581096, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.58591, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.69355, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.109683, "excess_performance": -0.015942, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132099, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074909, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.58591, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031621, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.096936, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02489, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.109683, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.394594, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6631, "relative_activity": 0.30484, "balance": 1.394594, "dry_up": 0.344146, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069145, "annualized_volatility": 0.474004, "from_high_reference": -0.029007, "from_low_reference": 0.521406 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.050921, "fair_value_reference": 43.581096, "structural_low": 50.276977, "invalidation": "A 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"blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.139826, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.052409, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02919, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.036823, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.309491, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.01457, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 61.5553, "volume": 3058, "typical_volume": 30165.65, "trend": 60.248196, "fair_value": 43.15052, "relative_strength": 3.045733, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.478755, "energy": 16.011858, "activity_lines": [ 62.904907, 63.805214, 62.632489, 61.576946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.1943, "volume": 7681, "typical_volume": 24802.2, "trend": 60.623583, "fair_value": 43.344919, "relative_strength": 4.220934, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.234458, "energy": 15.432788, "activity_lines": [ 62.79402, 63.673261, 62.884418, 61.767017 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.1157, "volume": 6631, "typical_volume": 21752.4, "trend": 61.050921, "fair_value": 43.581096, "relative_strength": 9.69355, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.053859, "energy": 27.579951, "activity_lines": [ 64.732347, 64.609872, 63.655496, 62.314896 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }