{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ca95571-5c01-4fae-b773-264f73eafe57", "symbol": "AVR", "name": "Anteris Technologies Global Corp. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.045, "architecture_energy": 25.007, "architecture_maturity": 77.562, "architecture_confidence": 92.251, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.16, "rotation_up": 24.77, "upward_expansion": 57.58, "deceleration": 88.3, "rotation_down": 36.81, "downward_expansion": 21.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.464667, 8.903818, 8.60019, 7.986774 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.91, "trend_reference": 7.232, "distance_from_trend": 0.232024, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.603161, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.590174, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 30.360138, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.622951, "excess_performance": 0.435497, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.232024, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.273987, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.590174, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.275577, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.303601, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.154029, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.622951, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.895202, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4779985, "relative_activity": 0.909401, "balance": 0.895202, "dry_up": 0.933968, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143355, "annualized_volatility": 0.679324, "from_high_reference": -0.19403, "from_low_reference": 1.806299 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.232, "fair_value_reference": 5.603161, "structural_low": 4.99, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.168712, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.13648, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 5.6, "volume": 2207488, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 5.58, "volume": 922261, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": 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"fair_value": 5.507083, "relative_strength": 33.428495, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.312442, "energy": 46.848514, "activity_lines": [ 9.414, 9.409273, 8.41619, 7.735204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.13, "volume": 3670298, "typical_volume": 5440895.55, "trend": 6.989333, "fair_value": 5.537941, "relative_strength": 28.793213, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.502509, "energy": 31.784188, "activity_lines": [ 8.928667, 9.211091, 8.470714, 7.814258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.84, "volume": 5692118, "typical_volume": 5469123.1, "trend": 7.086667, "fair_value": 5.564709, "relative_strength": 22.036673, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.23448, "energy": 24.650588, "activity_lines": [ 8.456667, 8.944, 8.488429, 7.86914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.91, "volume": 4779985, "typical_volume": 5256188.7, "trend": 7.232, "fair_value": 5.603161, "relative_strength": 30.360138, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.04512, "energy": 25.007063, "activity_lines": [ 8.464667, 8.903818, 8.60019, 7.986774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }