{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0cca3f32-8dd2-4730-a2e6-6428c80e8e6d",
    "symbol": "PHE",
    "name": "Purpose Tactical Hedged Equity Fund Series ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 62.611,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 93.77,
    "architecture_energy": 93.785,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.614,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.156,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.82,
        "rotation_up": 80.75,
        "upward_expansion": 94.58,
        "deceleration": 44.75,
        "rotation_down": 10.27,
        "downward_expansion": 21.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        40.603258
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 42.130001,
    "trend_reference": 40.308833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04518,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.054928,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.168495,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.419091,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.063352,
    "excess_performance": -0.057069,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04518,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007935,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168495,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004879,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064191,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006853,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063352,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 21.5,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 21.5,
      "dry_up": 0.926773,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.008344,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.091902,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000237,
      "from_low_reference": 0.113078
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 40.308833,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.054928,
      "structural_low": 37.849998,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.005984,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008501,
        "regime_survival": 0.775,
        "best_return": 0.042464,
        "worst_return": -0.036027,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.011867,
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        "worst_return": -0.06614,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033111,
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        "worst_return": -0.130889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.077054,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.875871,
        "energy": 31.948343,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.059666,
          39.604182,
          39.67519,
          39.741226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 40.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2585.0,
        "trend": 39.796833,
        "fair_value": 35.103464,
        "relative_strength": -6.854287,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.596507,
        "energy": 49.752715,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.523333,
          39.858636,
          39.784262,
          39.817688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 40.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2585.0,
        "trend": 39.865167,
        "fair_value": 35.174848,
        "relative_strength": -7.104412,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.94644,
        "energy": 62.969957,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.792,
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          39.889857,
          39.890796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 40.91,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2585.0,
        "trend": 39.9165,
        "fair_value": 35.24444,
        "relative_strength": -6.211825,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.187492,
        "energy": 81.190265,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.890667,
          40.315909,
          39.987262,
          39.958204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 40.84,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 2590.0,
        "trend": 39.957834,
        "fair_value": 35.317102,
        "relative_strength": -7.81621,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.915006,
        "energy": 77.961067,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.878,
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          40.074809,
          40.017785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 40.939999,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 2600.0,
        "trend": 39.9915,
        "fair_value": 35.389381,
        "relative_strength": -8.089638,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.618598,
        "energy": 69.433119,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.905333,
          40.676818,
          40.167738,
          40.08115
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 40.880001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2600.0,
        "trend": 40.030833,
        "fair_value": 35.458525,
        "relative_strength": -6.997374,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.916141,
        "energy": 53.375658,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.895333,
          40.796,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 40.759998,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 2605.0,
        "trend": 40.060833,
        "fair_value": 35.525174,
        "relative_strength": -8.353021,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.440464,
        "energy": 49.506987,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.848666,
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          40.321928,
          40.185516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 40.939999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2605.0,
        "trend": 40.1175,
        "fair_value": 35.594255,
        "relative_strength": -7.739663,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.803334,
        "energy": 47.346205,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.873333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 40.189999,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 2600.0,
        "trend": 40.107167,
        "fair_value": 35.656738,
        "relative_strength": -9.117911,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.284594,
        "energy": 27.70764,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.645999,
          40.752908,
          40.4155,
          40.246914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 40.639999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2600.0,
        "trend": 40.121833,
        "fair_value": 35.723256,
        "relative_strength": -8.470392,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.427575,
        "energy": 22.763466,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.611999,
          40.723817,
          40.464952,
          40.28129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 40.919998,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 2605.0,
        "trend": 40.145833,
        "fair_value": 35.788883,
        "relative_strength": -7.657358,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.483925,
        "energy": 30.555355,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.691332,
          40.746363,
          40.537023,
          40.332784
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 41.02,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2435.0,
        "trend": 40.192833,
        "fair_value": 35.85432,
        "relative_strength": -6.999169,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.478716,
        "energy": 43.092543,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.801332,
          40.787272,
          40.614095,
          40.389182
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.810001,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 2340.0,
        "trend": 40.211833,
        "fair_value": 35.916427,
        "relative_strength": -7.413116,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.050301,
        "energy": 60.66642,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.824,
          40.788363,
          40.667309,
          40.429
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.029999,
        "volume": 8000,
        "typical_volume": 2185.0,
        "trend": 40.247166,
        "fair_value": 35.981736,
        "relative_strength": -6.179932,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.467723,
        "energy": 74.236286,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.928666,
          40.831272,
          40.736571,
          40.481785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.130001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2185.0,
        "trend": 40.308833,
        "fair_value": 36.054928,
        "relative_strength": -6.419091,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.769557,
        "energy": 93.785472,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.344,
          41.070727,
          40.9015,
          40.603258
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}