{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ccede49-18f3-49bb-94f4-403159202646", "symbol": "UL3S", "name": "WisdomTree US Treasuries 30Y 3x Daily Short", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.257, "architecture_energy": 90.853, "architecture_maturity": 15.574, "architecture_confidence": 66.156, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.99, "rotation_up": 80.67, "upward_expansion": 94.88, "deceleration": 44.67, "rotation_down": 8.12, "downward_expansion": 21.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 114.119998, 110.651272, 108.191095, 106.292752 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 116.199997, "trend_reference": 103.78, "distance_from_trend": 0.119676, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 103.911647, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.118258, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.755547, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.137766, "excess_performance": -0.033126, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.119676, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033199, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.118258, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112116, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017555, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099436, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.137766, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.88122, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 303, "relative_activity": 1.538462, "balance": 0.88122, "dry_up": 0.401117, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031782, "annualized_volatility": 0.304534, "from_high_reference": -0.020236, "from_low_reference": 0.329824 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.78, "fair_value_reference": 103.911647, "structural_low": 90.220001, 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104.244333, 103.030172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 104.760002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 188.05, "trend": 101.811667, "fair_value": 103.193186, "relative_strength": -10.897953, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.568655, "energy": 17.21166, "activity_lines": [ 104.348002, 104.951819, 104.444095, 103.228688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 112.809998, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 188.55, "trend": 102.263667, "fair_value": 103.405237, "relative_strength": -2.164463, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.926606, "energy": 58.027546, "activity_lines": [ 107.224001, 106.254728, 105.356762, 103.938258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 114.099998, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 188.55, "trend": 102.758667, "fair_value": 103.61607, "relative_strength": -0.534754, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.33048, "energy": 75.348209, "activity_lines": [ 110.02, 107.603455, 106.30019, 104.701892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 114.529999, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 188.3, "trend": 103.313, "fair_value": 103.751134, "relative_strength": -0.555777, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.585576, "energy": 84.816433, "activity_lines": [ 112.117332, 109.004545, 107.189428, 105.461333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 116.199997, "volume": 303, "typical_volume": 196.95, "trend": 103.78, "fair_value": 103.911647, "relative_strength": -1.755547, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.256903, "energy": 90.852968, "activity_lines": [ 114.119998, 110.651272, 108.191095, 106.292752 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }