{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0cf38902-99a5-4979-a82d-7fdd4e2f4c23",
    "symbol": "4540",
    "name": "Tbi Motion Technology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 9.626,
    "architecture_energy": 17.603,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.984,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.285,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.4,
        "rotation_up": 26.4,
        "upward_expansion": 47.38,
        "deceleration": 67.35,
        "rotation_down": 34.49,
        "downward_expansion": 36.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.13,
        55.723636,
        59.101905,
        57.650968
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 59.700001,
    "trend_reference": 54.906666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0873,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.036308,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.420201,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.972013,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.350679,
    "excess_performance": -0.090693,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0873,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150681,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.420201,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.34271,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08972,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.212714,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.350679,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.560334,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22562521,
      "relative_activity": 0.719448,
      "balance": 1.560334,
      "dry_up": 0.463523,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.160031,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.830109,
      "from_high_reference": -0.271062,
      "from_low_reference": 0.803626
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.906666,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.036308,
      "structural_low": 40.700001,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.007022,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036241,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.169355,
        "worst_return": -0.161125,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.043011,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.101846,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.344101,
        "worst_return": -0.168828,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.069892,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.178644,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.039326,
        "worst_return": -0.138044,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.182204,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.461011,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.446236,
        "worst_return": -0.081829,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.233615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.067204,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.004598,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.110746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08798,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.067416,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.090014,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072418,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.419118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.137547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.181408,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 32.961964,
        "volume": 1113105,
        "typical_volume": 535678.3,
        "trend": 38.469956,
        "fair_value": 43.12333,
        "relative_strength": -19.740139,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -92.239787,
        "energy": 88.821859,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-06",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-13",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-20",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-11-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-01",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 29738787.1,
        "trend": 53.285,
        "fair_value": 41.743341,
        "relative_strength": -27.26443,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.441758,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.0,
        "volume": 24656334,
        "typical_volume": 30536239.55,
        "trend": 54.111666,
        "fair_value": 41.88849,
        "relative_strength": -5.762427,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.956925,
        "energy": 26.84857,
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          53.006666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 59.700001,
        "volume": 22562521,
        "typical_volume": 31360872.1,
        "trend": 54.906666,
        "fair_value": 42.036308,
        "relative_strength": -8.972013,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.62649,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}