{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0cf5ac78-e987-4488-b64d-bfc66b6d68a9", "symbol": "002859", "name": "Zhejiang Jiemei Electronic And Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.379, "architecture_energy": 26.594, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.26, "rotation_up": 16.73, "upward_expansion": 52.26, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 44.76, "downward_expansion": 22.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.146001, 73.729637, 71.091417, 64.562494 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 70.510002, "trend_reference": 55.709195, "distance_from_trend": 0.26568, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.944167, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.436069, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 55.775779, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.855616, "excess_performance": 0.848217, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.26568, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.422206, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.436069, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.474097, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.557758, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.24501, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.855616, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.140093, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113371233, "relative_activity": 1.698783, "balance": 2.140093, "dry_up": 1.541438, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.217572, "annualized_volatility": 0.863235, "from_high_reference": -0.329434, "from_low_reference": 1.865389 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.709195, "fair_value_reference": 28.944167, "structural_low": 35.852214, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.042691, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.055004, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.371388, "worst_return": -0.128302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.010798, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.00225, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.455601, "worst_return": -0.306659, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.095349, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.003958, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.961873, "worst_return": -0.128675, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.012637, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.180898, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.108583, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.114975, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001513, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05311, 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"direction": 66.055525, "energy": 66.12064, "activity_lines": [ 90.075333, 84.445512, 70.382149, 61.790502 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 63.450001, "volume": 82184405, "typical_volume": 54535708.2, "trend": 52.174558, "fair_value": 28.262401, "relative_strength": 53.345009, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.595785, "energy": 45.463968, "activity_lines": [ 81.195333, 82.046475, 70.699944, 62.592261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.380001, "volume": 94987479, "typical_volume": 58838761.95, "trend": 53.199696, "fair_value": 28.466548, "relative_strength": 40.647208, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.641539, "energy": 25.525232, "activity_lines": [ 71.747334, 78.642667, 70.529548, 63.057128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.299999, "volume": 120939233, "typical_volume": 64885723.6, "trend": 54.277126, "fair_value": 28.673039, "relative_strength": 42.665605, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.984069, "energy": 28.776783, "activity_lines": [ 65.296, 75.261273, 70.366579, 63.515212 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.510002, "volume": 113371233, "typical_volume": 66736750.0, "trend": 55.709195, "fair_value": 28.944167, "relative_strength": 55.775779, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.378868, "energy": 26.59378, "activity_lines": [ 65.146001, 73.729637, 71.091417, 64.562494 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }