{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0d0fc7e8-b44b-4daf-b93f-9df1d9c1dfed",
    "symbol": "WTFC",
    "name": "Wintrust Financial Corporation",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.238,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 45.793,
    "architecture_energy": 34.049,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.768,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.137,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.04,
        "rotation_up": 42.55,
        "upward_expansion": 65.61,
        "deceleration": 63.79,
        "rotation_down": 24.04,
        "downward_expansion": 15.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        152.805565
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 158.75,
    "trend_reference": 149.779206,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059893,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 116.103263,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.367317,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.519202,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.01242,
    "excess_performance": -0.199874,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059893,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051958,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.367317,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019122,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025192,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038899,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01242,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.419855,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3306507,
      "relative_activity": 1.330252,
      "balance": 1.419855,
      "dry_up": 1.454858,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045575,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.245898,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047342,
      "from_low_reference": 0.342046
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 116.103263,
      "structural_low": 128.666917,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": -0.001689,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.466667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008066,
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        "worst_return": -0.153051,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.345411,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 0.09733,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 160.963662,
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        "typical_volume": 2282545.45,
        "trend": 147.459534,
        "fair_value": 114.051595,
        "relative_strength": -1.369983,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 67.059292,
        "energy": 67.790434,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 163.734087,
        "volume": 4025656,
        "typical_volume": 2364898.55,
        "trend": 148.207811,
        "fair_value": 114.594509,
        "relative_strength": 4.688174,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.22925,
        "energy": 73.063691,
        "activity_lines": [
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          153.597636,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 158.113513,
        "volume": 4371931,
        "typical_volume": 2494986.9,
        "trend": 148.737297,
        "fair_value": 115.093653,
        "relative_strength": 2.730219,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.611285,
        "energy": 50.244219,
        "activity_lines": [
          160.731633,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 158.990482,
        "volume": 2760826,
        "typical_volume": 2485277.65,
        "trend": 149.315871,
        "fair_value": 115.597993,
        "relative_strength": 2.649977,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.634898,
        "energy": 43.157637,
        "activity_lines": [
          160.078056,
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          155.432238,
          152.196912
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 158.75,
        "volume": 3306507,
        "typical_volume": 2485624.8,
        "trend": 149.779206,
        "fair_value": 116.103263,
        "relative_strength": -2.519202,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.792893,
        "energy": 34.04866,
        "activity_lines": [
          159.498954,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}