{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d120870-0269-4ab2-b05c-9a4bf34030a2", "symbol": "MITSN", "name": "Mitsubishi Electric Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.745, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -13.026, "architecture_energy": 51.457, "architecture_maturity": 29.223, "architecture_confidence": 59.238, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.41, "rotation_up": 14.0, "upward_expansion": 51.5, "deceleration": 74.47, "rotation_down": 59.72, "downward_expansion": 47.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 626.070007, 650.100919, 664.996485, 649.953964 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 626.330017, "trend_reference": 624.592102, "distance_from_trend": 0.002782, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 415.15111, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.50868, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.95352, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.116858, "excess_performance": 0.171524, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002782, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113908, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.50868, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.24268, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.119535, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.196631, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116858, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.450327, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.450327, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017701, "annualized_volatility": 0.246018, "from_high_reference": -0.123119, "from_low_reference": 0.56157 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 624.592102, "fair_value_reference": 415.15111, "structural_low": 560.796692, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.256266, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013854, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.123665, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", 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"activity_lines": [ 661.272009, 683.22365, 672.60239, 647.787171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 625.940002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 982.65, "trend": 614.874913, "fair_value": 410.888809, "relative_strength": 14.5509, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.46114, "energy": 45.953662, "activity_lines": [ 643.606006, 670.730556, 670.364913, 648.814086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 625.940002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 982.65, "trend": 619.727007, "fair_value": 413.039321, "relative_strength": 12.520826, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -24.639379, "energy": 53.601349, "activity_lines": [ 631.82867, 659.666009, 667.81723, 649.527963 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 626.330017, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 982.65, "trend": 624.592102, "fair_value": 415.15111, "relative_strength": 11.95352, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.025808, "energy": 51.45686, "activity_lines": [ 626.070007, 650.100919, 664.996485, 649.953964 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }