{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0d1d5419-9d1d-4362-b683-41f23a35acaf",
    "symbol": "601011",
    "name": "Baotailong New Materials Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.414,
    "architecture_energy": 50.748,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.178,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.369,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.51,
        "rotation_up": 21.48,
        "upward_expansion": 7.47,
        "deceleration": 54.86,
        "rotation_down": 57.37,
        "downward_expansion": 80.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        2.744667,
        2.913677
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.63,
    "trend_reference": 3.119,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.156781,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.857051,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.07947,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.811721,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.275482,
    "excess_performance": -0.232278,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.156781,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099682,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.07947,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123588,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.178117,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058499,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.275482,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.618267,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.040269,
      "balance": 0.618267,
      "dry_up": 0.907616,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.103247,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.490975,
      "from_high_reference": -0.458848,
      "from_low_reference": 0.123932
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.119,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.857051,
      "structural_low": 2.34,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.00188,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020797,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.302222,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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    ],
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.57,
        "volume": 129285099,
        "typical_volume": 188031800.3,
        "trend": 3.144667,
        "fair_value": 2.863462,
        "relative_strength": -17.616418,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.298686,
        "energy": 60.279288,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.514,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.63,
        "volume": 174873782,
        "typical_volume": 168104398.25,
        "trend": 3.119,
        "fair_value": 2.857051,
        "relative_strength": -17.811721,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.413653,
        "energy": 50.748486,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.542,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}