{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d237193-f3c4-4548-a0e5-bab1f3c2e700", "symbol": "FAITH", "name": "Franklin MSCI World Catholic Principles UCITS ETF USD Accumulation", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.911, "architecture_energy": 59.944, "architecture_maturity": 89.416, "architecture_confidence": 64.1, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.2, "rotation_up": 50.29, "upward_expansion": 81.01, "deceleration": 71.45, "rotation_down": 29.04, "downward_expansion": 10.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.042333, 33.942454, 33.365904, 32.538935 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 34.950001, "trend_reference": 31.576833, "distance_from_trend": 0.106824, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.241144, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.237556, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.904819, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.181741, "excess_performance": 0.01085, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.106824, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046156, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.237556, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066782, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019048, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003835, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.181741, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.251102, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21152, "relative_activity": 0.749149, "balance": 4.251102, "dry_up": 0.74497, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02344, "annualized_volatility": 0.148242, "from_high_reference": -0.000143, "from_low_reference": 0.278815 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.576833, "fair_value_reference": 28.241144, "structural_low": 27.33, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.008504, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.003404, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.054209, "worst_return": -0.028736, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.053887, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.002989, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.107604, "worst_return": 0.00017, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.107792, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.008608, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.107792, "worst_return": 0.107792, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 28077.95, "trend": 31.426833, "fair_value": 28.183803, "relative_strength": -4.014358, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.107492, "energy": 48.995156, "activity_lines": [ 33.661333, 33.696908, 33.102833, 32.311634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.950001, "volume": 21152, "typical_volume": 28234.7, "trend": 31.576833, "fair_value": 28.241144, "relative_strength": -1.904819, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.910549, "energy": 59.944083, "activity_lines": [ 34.042333, 33.942454, 33.365904, 32.538935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }