{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0d5200fb-9d7d-465b-a21b-e669aca1baad",
    "symbol": "DOL",
    "name": "Dollarama Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 54.632,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 34.624,
    "architecture_energy": 27.319,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.011,
    "architecture_confidence": 40.541,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.53,
        "rotation_up": 47.39,
        "upward_expansion": 46.86,
        "deceleration": 42.73,
        "rotation_down": 25.93,
        "downward_expansion": 9.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        189.850667,
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        184.978302,
        183.986589
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 192.570007,
    "trend_reference": 184.492687,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.043781,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 149.392748,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.289018,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.032037,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.002254,
    "excess_performance": -0.118167,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043781,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019115,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.289018,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056791,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09032,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089279,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002254,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.868201,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2299300,
      "relative_activity": 0.795596,
      "balance": 0.868201,
      "dry_up": 1.058586,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043008,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.254419,
      "from_high_reference": -0.081702,
      "from_low_reference": 0.160864
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 184.492687,
      "fair_value_reference": 149.392748,
      "structural_low": 165.885093,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.015868,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01647,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.015868,
        "worst_return": 0.015868,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2023-08-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.020829,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-18",
        "end": "2023-09-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-15",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.058158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.432123,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.008174,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.111486,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.260122,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": -0.059455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
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        "return": 0.079896,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 3312270.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 3482155.0,
        "trend": 188.280938,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3517470.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 3435760.0,
        "trend": 187.967631,
        "fair_value": 143.46848,
        "relative_strength": -13.767052,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 3330160.0,
        "trend": 187.838418,
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        "relative_strength": -9.986252,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 3220345.0,
        "trend": 187.482738,
        "fair_value": 144.785693,
        "relative_strength": -11.485651,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 3042610.0,
        "trend": 187.285997,
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        "relative_strength": -7.719412,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 43.584181,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 187.986938,
        "volume": 339600,
        "typical_volume": 2860595.0,
        "trend": 186.856763,
        "fair_value": 146.108391,
        "relative_strength": -10.678661,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.297621,
        "energy": 46.14271,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 185.25,
        "volume": 3109900,
        "typical_volume": 2919215.0,
        "trend": 186.299011,
        "fair_value": 146.7332,
        "relative_strength": -11.61885,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.746431,
        "energy": 43.388671,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 190.869995,
        "volume": 2878200,
        "typical_volume": 2897540.0,
        "trend": 185.889973,
        "fair_value": 147.393844,
        "relative_strength": -8.400987,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.256019,
        "energy": 38.755465,
        "activity_lines": [
          188.912317,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 184.679993,
        "volume": 3942700,
        "typical_volume": 2958490.0,
        "trend": 185.211012,
        "fair_value": 148.023143,
        "relative_strength": -11.18645,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.953624,
        "energy": 15.323108,
        "activity_lines": [
          187.493796,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 190.970001,
        "volume": 3117200,
        "typical_volume": 2985080.0,
        "trend": 184.712755,
        "fair_value": 148.703008,
        "relative_strength": -7.308043,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.0813,
        "energy": 21.590242,
        "activity_lines": [
          188.311127,
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          183.818168,
          183.479669
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 192.570007,
        "volume": 2299300,
        "typical_volume": 2890035.0,
        "trend": 184.492687,
        "fair_value": 149.392748,
        "relative_strength": -9.032037,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.623534,
        "energy": 27.319169,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}