{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d578a7d-6f4d-4bc3-90db-369b09577116", "symbol": "BTE", "name": "Bund Center Investment Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.909, "architecture_energy": 26.062, "architecture_maturity": 23.654, "architecture_confidence": 55.331, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.34, "rotation_up": 55.5, "upward_expansion": 66.23, "deceleration": 58.66, "rotation_down": 18.0, "downward_expansion": 14.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.411333, 0.407364, 0.407449, 0.406401 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.42, "trend_reference": 0.399933, "distance_from_trend": 0.050175, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.334832, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254362, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.376592, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.164302, "excess_performance": 0.009467, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050175, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036207, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.254362, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003259, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.083766, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137477, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.164302, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.356406, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 207300, "relative_activity": 1.868241, "balance": 2.356406, "dry_up": 0.718052, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052198, "annualized_volatility": 0.350844, "from_high_reference": -0.088328, "from_low_reference": 0.335063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.399933, "fair_value_reference": 0.334832, "structural_low": 0.360731, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.011539, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.144579, "worst_return": -0.091837, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.011298, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.266668, "worst_return": -0.088888, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.036015, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.047721, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.144739, "worst_return": -0.155555, "sufficient": true }, 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.027396, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.078946, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.057143, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.106667, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.219375, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": 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"trend": 0.394405, "fair_value": 0.333513, "relative_strength": -6.52971, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.860533, "energy": 13.07661, "activity_lines": [ 0.402667, 0.403091, 0.406624, 0.403388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.415, "volume": 10600, "typical_volume": 110890.0, "trend": 0.396214, "fair_value": 0.333934, "relative_strength": -7.754887, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.544423, "energy": 14.872201, "activity_lines": [ 0.406667, 0.405455, 0.40723, 0.404716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.4, "volume": 12200, "typical_volume": 105720.0, "trend": 0.397668, "fair_value": 0.334331, "relative_strength": -11.665909, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.796798, "energy": 10.984856, "activity_lines": [ 0.406, 0.404636, 0.406377, 0.404961 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.42, "volume": 207300, "typical_volume": 110960.0, "trend": 0.399933, "fair_value": 0.334832, "relative_strength": -8.376592, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.908676, "energy": 26.062277, "activity_lines": [ 0.411333, 0.407364, 0.407449, 0.406401 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }