{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d62fe63-48a3-464b-9e1d-6533ff99be9c", "symbol": "GODREJAGRO", "name": "Godrej Agrovet Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.171, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.907, "architecture_energy": 37.448, "architecture_maturity": 14.174, "architecture_confidence": 93.449, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.09, "rotation_up": 21.15, "upward_expansion": 4.31, "deceleration": 50.02, "rotation_down": 51.13, "downward_expansion": 77.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 552.989287, 555.13742, 564.75795, 571.074153 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 542.849976, "trend_reference": 574.838371, "distance_from_trend": -0.055648, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 633.063888, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.142504, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.842912, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.019418, "excess_performance": 0.024291, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.055648, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010185, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.142504, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091909, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098429, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024093, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.019418, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.685134, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 791525, "relative_activity": 1.380076, "balance": 0.685134, "dry_up": 1.013736, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042156, "annualized_volatility": 0.322833, "from_high_reference": -0.339799, "from_low_reference": 0.072614 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 574.838371, "fair_value_reference": 633.063888, "structural_low": 530.799988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.004553, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.008647, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.075145, "worst_return": -0.137577, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.030124, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.005301, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.159265, "worst_return": -0.178569, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.057875, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.018301, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.186872, "worst_return": -0.090114, 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.372403, "energy": 48.956391, "activity_lines": [ 556.303662, 560.112015, 569.329632, 574.40244 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 556.799988, "volume": 620389, "typical_volume": 568648.7, "trend": 575.333372, "fair_value": 632.546066, "relative_strength": -7.643056, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.965336, "energy": 33.662501, "activity_lines": [ 557.153581, 558.691082, 567.679149, 573.169856 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 542.849976, "volume": 791525, "typical_volume": 573537.1, "trend": 574.838371, "fair_value": 633.063888, "relative_strength": -9.842912, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.906734, "energy": 37.447587, "activity_lines": [ 552.989287, 555.13742, 564.75795, 571.074153 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }