{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0d6f561d-db9b-453f-b869-28436a31ce66",
    "symbol": "QINF",
    "name": "Mackenzie Global Infrastructure Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 80.962,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 18.782,
    "architecture_energy": 12.457,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.628,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.832,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.77,
        "rotation_up": 23.33,
        "upward_expansion": 61.48,
        "deceleration": 88.03,
        "rotation_down": 29.47,
        "downward_expansion": 16.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        173.039503
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 170.399994,
    "trend_reference": 170.959298,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.003272,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 136.516096,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.248204,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.759136,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.05152,
    "excess_performance": -0.068901,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003272,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03654,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.248204,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033896,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077591,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023568,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05152,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.294896,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7600,
      "relative_activity": 1.109489,
      "balance": 0.294896,
      "dry_up": 1.532847,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022695,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.172973,
      "from_high_reference": -0.052807,
      "from_low_reference": 0.157151
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 170.959298,
      "fair_value_reference": 136.516096,
      "structural_low": 161.444634,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": -0.00158,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009289,
        "regime_survival": 0.763158,
        "best_return": 0.062457,
        "worst_return": -0.070839,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.02939,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020759,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.140834,
        "worst_return": -0.07956,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002439,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.10666,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000584,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.003741,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 171.108994,
        "volume": 4800,
        "typical_volume": 9225.0,
        "trend": 163.123992,
        "fair_value": 129.830329,
        "relative_strength": -3.31167,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 59.201027,
        "energy": 47.476642,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 8720.0,
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        "fair_value": 130.248171,
        "relative_strength": -2.413149,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 6600,
        "typical_volume": 8745.0,
        "trend": 163.936755,
        "fair_value": 130.629245,
        "relative_strength": -5.402324,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 8840.0,
        "trend": 164.142763,
        "fair_value": 131.032795,
        "relative_strength": -4.89481,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 8600,
        "typical_volume": 9145.0,
        "trend": 164.578942,
        "fair_value": 131.48693,
        "relative_strength": -3.047237,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 21.054554,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 167.947128,
        "volume": 4600,
        "typical_volume": 8835.0,
        "trend": 164.932715,
        "fair_value": 131.905104,
        "relative_strength": -6.389384,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 165.349218,
        "fair_value": 132.334591,
        "relative_strength": -3.971674,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 8270.0,
        "trend": 165.731239,
        "fair_value": 132.77386,
        "relative_strength": -4.169522,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 166.200122,
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        "relative_strength": -3.412681,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 7580.0,
        "trend": 166.791201,
        "fair_value": 133.738625,
        "relative_strength": 0.143717,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "direction": 78.837726,
        "energy": 68.9831,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 179.160004,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 7360.0,
        "trend": 167.580966,
        "fair_value": 134.230365,
        "relative_strength": -0.773102,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.068179,
        "energy": 78.298189,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 7600,
        "typical_volume": 7085.0,
        "trend": 168.363303,
        "fair_value": 134.69775,
        "relative_strength": -1.954207,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.952712,
        "energy": 75.007332,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.324328,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 175.910004,
        "volume": 17600,
        "typical_volume": 7640.0,
        "trend": 169.116843,
        "fair_value": 135.145477,
        "relative_strength": -2.35107,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.332115,
        "energy": 74.732794,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.2004,
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          173.469082,
          172.132715
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 179.679993,
        "volume": 4200,
        "typical_volume": 7165.0,
        "trend": 169.954689,
        "fair_value": 135.629168,
        "relative_strength": -0.456866,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.820583,
        "energy": 72.279322,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.083331,
          176.428487,
          174.146019,
          172.814208
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 173.570007,
        "volume": 12600,
        "typical_volume": 7140.0,
        "trend": 170.523249,
        "fair_value": 136.08549,
        "relative_strength": -3.230044,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.181744,
        "energy": 37.779858,
        "activity_lines": [
          176.509334,
          176.2036,
          174.200568,
          173.047455
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 170.399994,
        "volume": 7600,
        "typical_volume": 6850.0,
        "trend": 170.959298,
        "fair_value": 136.516096,
        "relative_strength": -7.759136,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.782442,
        "energy": 12.457359,
        "activity_lines": [
          174.281999,
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          173.946935,
          173.039503
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}