{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d75c3e2-7e4c-453e-8f1f-b986e2372ce1", "symbol": "000159", "name": "Xinjiang International Industry Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.02, "architecture_energy": 46.031, "architecture_maturity": 27.886, "architecture_confidence": 86.531, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.14, "rotation_up": 18.96, "upward_expansion": 6.34, "deceleration": 56.3, "rotation_down": 57.68, "downward_expansion": 79.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.384667, 5.455704, 5.851958, 6.07761 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.62, "trend_reference": 6.352792, "distance_from_trend": -0.11535, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.055665, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.071943, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.579029, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.200569, "excess_performance": -0.207969, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.11535, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016596, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.071943, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135263, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.11579, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009468, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.200569, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.60069, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68463717, "relative_activity": 0.929592, "balance": 1.60069, "dry_up": 0.760489, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106157, "annualized_volatility": 0.431876, "from_high_reference": -0.319613, "from_low_reference": 0.146939 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.352792, "fair_value_reference": 6.055665, "structural_low": 4.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.005803, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": 0.028487, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.135452, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.007776, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.047351, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.298635, "worst_return": -0.116667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.016537, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.042587, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.489112, "worst_return": -0.175641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 5.32, "volume": 51694890, "typical_volume": 99928253.8, "trend": 6.393458, "fair_value": 6.084511, "relative_strength": -14.137845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.63332, "energy": 77.847896, "activity_lines": [ 5.450739, 5.763545, 6.106345, 6.279226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.03, "volume": 62137225, "typical_volume": 83268580.95, "trend": 6.373458, "fair_value": 6.072588, "relative_strength": -18.674311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.282098, "energy": 77.593353, "activity_lines": [ 5.297391, 5.572568, 5.983566, 6.191261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.35, "volume": 41741966, "typical_volume": 76501869.5, "trend": 6.358125, "fair_value": 6.062909, "relative_strength": -11.759556, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.883984, "energy": 61.611883, "activity_lines": [ 5.297333, 5.473772, 5.901595, 6.125231 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.62, "volume": 68463717, "typical_volume": 73649223.9, "trend": 6.352792, "fair_value": 6.055665, "relative_strength": -11.579029, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.019913, "energy": 46.031274, "activity_lines": [ 5.384667, 5.455704, 5.851958, 6.07761 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }