{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d77797d-27fe-4243-8c8c-9fb0c18ee762", "symbol": "JKIL", "name": "J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.592, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.364, "architecture_energy": 17.501, "architecture_maturity": 15.158, "architecture_confidence": 65.083, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.12, "rotation_up": 21.85, "upward_expansion": 7.6, "deceleration": 50.02, "rotation_down": 37.64, "downward_expansion": 64.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 491.929997, 492.688181, 493.563571, 495.622258 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 498.899994, "trend_reference": 505.738332, "distance_from_trend": -0.013521, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 621.252053, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.196944, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.704875, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.126729, "excess_performance": -0.083019, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.013521, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059383, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.196944, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041548, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087049, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039734, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.126729, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.94198, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 783151, "relative_activity": 1.422037, "balance": 0.94198, "dry_up": 0.830501, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052994, "annualized_volatility": 0.325009, "from_high_reference": -0.267582, "from_low_reference": 0.173882 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 505.738332, "fair_value_reference": 621.252053, "structural_low": 425.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.016591, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": -0.010262, "regime_survival": 0.590909, "best_return": 0.253061, "worst_return": -0.1095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.050433, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.050345, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.598706, "worst_return": -0.127675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.078704, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.031028, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.729085, "worst_return": 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"activity_lines": [ 499.256669, 494.225456, 494.189525, 500.093333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 485.649994, "volume": 261963, "typical_volume": 564705.65, "trend": 512.276665, "fair_value": 619.80368, "relative_strength": -9.407101, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.07696, "energy": 15.378796, "activity_lines": [ 494.619999, 493.000909, 493.700239, 498.180107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 482.0, "volume": 290090, "typical_volume": 544654.85, "trend": 508.269998, "fair_value": 620.56667, "relative_strength": -11.723593, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.52797, "energy": 23.071671, "activity_lines": [ 489.736666, 491.260909, 492.798572, 496.226774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 498.899994, "volume": 783151, "typical_volume": 550724.6, "trend": 505.738332, "fair_value": 621.252053, "relative_strength": -8.704875, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.364325, "energy": 17.501329, "activity_lines": [ 491.929997, 492.688181, 493.563571, 495.622258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }