{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d790a83-4655-4a53-aa57-4896dee24050", "symbol": "6599", "name": "Poindus Systems Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.619, "architecture_energy": 89.945, "architecture_maturity": 57.964, "architecture_confidence": 94.864, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 27.55, "upward_expansion": 21.88, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 65.65, "downward_expansion": 99.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.396667, 39.393636, 41.747685, 44.782373 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 38.150002, "trend_reference": 49.173376, "distance_from_trend": -0.224174, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.044032, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.022898, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.987366, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.359705, "excess_performance": -0.801077, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.224174, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071418, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.022898, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186709, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.479874, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040508, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.359705, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.70427, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2, "relative_activity": 0.000132, "balance": 0.70427, "dry_up": 0.584745, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041082, "annualized_volatility": 0.220694, "from_high_reference": -0.412435, "from_low_reference": 0.003947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.173376, "fair_value_reference": 39.044032, "structural_low": 38.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.024545, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.05622, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.253947, "worst_return": -0.171271, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.051971, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.025715, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.109211, "worst_return": -0.119705, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.159751, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.075851, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.594534, "worst_return": -0.097606, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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91.177818, "activity_lines": [ 39.553333, 41.091706, 43.968958, 47.065256 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.900002, "volume": 15273, "typical_volume": 15463.5, "trend": 50.293139, "fair_value": 38.871428, "relative_strength": -45.599424, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.289563, "energy": 86.495833, "activity_lines": [ 39.076667, 40.534123, 43.183176, 46.301139 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.349998, "volume": 7104, "typical_volume": 15418.7, "trend": 49.74773, "fair_value": 38.955961, "relative_strength": -46.799573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.422015, "energy": 88.236498, "activity_lines": [ 38.656666, 39.941818, 42.432586, 45.530613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 38.150002, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 15207.9, "trend": 49.173376, "fair_value": 39.044032, "relative_strength": -47.987366, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.619029, "energy": 89.94458, "activity_lines": [ 38.396667, 39.393636, 41.747685, 44.782373 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }