{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d8a9397-e3d6-49bd-a5d3-1ea475dddc0e", "symbol": "MEGA", "name": "Mega Lifesciences Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.065, "architecture_energy": 77.759, "architecture_maturity": 16.092, "architecture_confidence": 72.435, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.65, "rotation_up": 77.21, "upward_expansion": 92.38, "deceleration": 42.19, "rotation_down": 10.41, "downward_expansion": 16.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.166667, 37.377273, 36.369048, 35.931281 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 39.25, "trend_reference": 35.644755, "distance_from_trend": 0.101144, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.563388, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169429, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.681039, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.056538, "excess_performance": -0.135788, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.101144, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046531, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.169429, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09737, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.01681, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013451, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.056538, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.998779, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6277100, "relative_activity": 2.047563, "balance": 0.998779, "dry_up": 1.252224, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041646, "annualized_volatility": 0.244242, "from_high_reference": -0.012579, "from_low_reference": 0.44679 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.644755, "fair_value_reference": 33.563388, "structural_low": 31.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.046083, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.029975, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.074627, "worst_return": -0.089386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.034271, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.083996, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.172441, "worst_return": -0.198157, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.04882, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.026264, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.079717, "worst_return": -0.088511, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.777804, "energy": 57.033947, "activity_lines": [ 36.333333, 35.8, 35.220475, 35.210063 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.75, "volume": 2988900, "typical_volume": 3247385.0, "trend": 35.176445, "fair_value": 33.475987, "relative_strength": -3.607259, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.840594, "energy": 67.437823, "activity_lines": [ 37.0, 36.2, 35.490238, 35.387377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.25, "volume": 3715300, "typical_volume": 3040440.0, "trend": 35.359021, "fair_value": 33.502984, "relative_strength": -5.139215, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.64276, "energy": 67.952354, "activity_lines": [ 37.25, 36.472727, 35.709524, 35.521154 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.0, "volume": 2374200, "typical_volume": 2924160.0, "trend": 35.534009, "fair_value": 33.530582, "relative_strength": -2.118618, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.104643, "energy": 70.232635, "activity_lines": [ 37.6, 36.840909, 35.989286, 35.69154 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.25, "volume": 6277100, "typical_volume": 3065645.0, "trend": 35.644755, "fair_value": 33.563388, "relative_strength": 1.681039, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.065241, "energy": 77.759442, "activity_lines": [ 38.166667, 37.377273, 36.369048, 35.931281 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }