{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d8b914e-af96-4ccd-95c5-a8b6396b4e24", "symbol": "1444", "name": "Lealea Enterprise Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.086, "architecture_energy": 22.262, "architecture_maturity": 62.552, "architecture_confidence": 77.35, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.45, "rotation_up": 19.9, "upward_expansion": 52.56, "deceleration": 93.93, "rotation_down": 31.95, "downward_expansion": 18.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.354, 7.690364, 7.338476, 7.063505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 7.2, "trend_reference": 6.753667, "distance_from_trend": 0.066088, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.303718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.132919, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.907588, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.144674, "excess_performance": -0.296698, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066088, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086381, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.132919, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.187928, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.219076, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.178767, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.144674, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.379829, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5535384, "relative_activity": 0.399131, "balance": 3.379829, "dry_up": 0.56441, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133226, "annualized_volatility": 0.585888, "from_high_reference": -0.297561, "from_low_reference": 0.252174 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.753667, "fair_value_reference": 8.303718, "structural_low": 5.75, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.009615, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.040206, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.04955, "worst_return": -0.022412, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.009009, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.106129, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.004854, "worst_return": -0.078975, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.067726, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.048544, "worst_return": -0.192102, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.033099, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.056863, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.004202, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05228, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.027748, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.287895, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": 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"fair_value": 8.347564, "relative_strength": -20.475118, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.295153, "energy": 35.089139, "activity_lines": [ 7.868, 7.848727, 7.279762, 6.995011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.26, "volume": 5729565, "typical_volume": 13754088.45, "trend": 6.720667, "fair_value": 8.325833, "relative_strength": -19.283713, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.465681, "energy": 20.15136, "activity_lines": [ 7.531333, 7.784182, 7.314, 7.032581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 7.2, "volume": 5535384, "typical_volume": 13868574.65, "trend": 6.753667, "fair_value": 8.303718, "relative_strength": -21.907588, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.086229, "energy": 22.261758, "activity_lines": [ 7.354, 7.690364, 7.338476, 7.063505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }