{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0d8d3566-8ef2-4c5f-b251-0e09a709ae5f",
    "symbol": "TRI",
    "name": "Trifast plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 52.022,
    "architecture_energy": 75.557,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.867,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.263,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.82,
        "rotation_up": 76.03,
        "upward_expansion": 67.24,
        "deceleration": 20.98,
        "rotation_down": 17.0,
        "downward_expansion": 25.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.805467,
        0.773418,
        0.728481,
        0.716365
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.832,
    "trend_reference": 0.716722,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.16084,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.730414,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13908,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.499012,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.072338,
    "excess_performance": 0.021102,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16084,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009537,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13908,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.278474,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04499,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.228138,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072338,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.128274,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 548022,
      "relative_activity": 0.629088,
      "balance": 4.128274,
      "dry_up": 0.526592,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05867,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.45375,
      "from_high_reference": -0.055666,
      "from_low_reference": 0.480427
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.716722,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.730414,
      "structural_low": 0.562,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.064103,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.051734,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.150001,
        "worst_return": -0.241878,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.122779,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.114967,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.019088,
        "worst_return": -0.173645,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.016489,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.123588,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.104333,
        "worst_return": -0.128451,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.143782,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064401,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.197545,
        "worst_return": 0.09002,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.038462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015707,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.019262,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.074678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.139651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.053189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.140401,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.116667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.055838,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.788,
        "volume": 525969,
        "typical_volume": 914037.1,
        "trend": 0.705974,
        "fair_value": 0.730672,
        "relative_strength": 1.033457,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.316226,
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          0.762,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.766,
        "volume": 497597,
        "typical_volume": 909833.55,
        "trend": 0.708688,
        "fair_value": 0.730278,
        "relative_strength": -2.86871,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.873079,
        "energy": 66.686818,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.7716,
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          0.702614,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.808,
        "volume": 263349,
        "typical_volume": 891547.0,
        "trend": 0.71247,
        "fair_value": 0.730242,
        "relative_strength": 1.589609,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.293267,
        "energy": 75.221202,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.7888,
          0.7548,
          0.714667,
          0.708654
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.832,
        "volume": 548022,
        "typical_volume": 871137.5,
        "trend": 0.716722,
        "fair_value": 0.730414,
        "relative_strength": 4.499012,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.02193,
        "energy": 75.556926,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.728481,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}