{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0d92b471-13d1-4b0c-86a7-90b4f5ec5b61", "symbol": "300871", "name": "Wuhan Hvsen Biotechnology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.197, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.512, "architecture_energy": 45.23, "architecture_maturity": 8.584, "architecture_confidence": 90.887, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.02, "rotation_up": 17.77, "upward_expansion": 7.29, "deceleration": 45.25, "rotation_down": 53.81, "downward_expansion": 78.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.580667, 21.903665, 22.55316, 23.340485 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.950001, "trend_reference": 24.34504, "distance_from_trend": -0.057303, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.982574, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.351385, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.651551, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.220978, "excess_performance": -0.228377, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057303, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015773, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.351385, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204905, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036516, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055926, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.220978, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.412409, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23902323, "relative_activity": 0.738338, "balance": 0.412409, "dry_up": 1.053764, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086678, "annualized_volatility": 0.419858, "from_high_reference": -0.296444, "from_low_reference": 0.20283 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.34504, "fair_value_reference": 16.982574, "structural_low": 19.745181, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.030968, "positive_rate": 0.392857, "directional_follow_through": 0.607143, "median_excess_return": -0.00676, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.421129, "worst_return": -0.169167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.060846, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.051436, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.291276, "worst_return": -0.157679, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.021969, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.079799, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.128318, "worst_return": -0.286705, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -7.261191, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.033823, "energy": 29.197074, "activity_lines": [ 22.471355, 22.301912, 23.24032, 23.922837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.129999, "volume": 36708612, "typical_volume": 34447372.95, "trend": 24.267373, "fair_value": 16.917482, "relative_strength": -13.294861, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.636655, "energy": 43.022046, "activity_lines": [ 21.637754, 21.902072, 22.877123, 23.654576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.719999, "volume": 22573230, "typical_volume": 34267725.3, "trend": 24.27104, "fair_value": 16.943098, "relative_strength": -8.985866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.670986, "energy": 61.722602, "activity_lines": [ 21.194666, 21.681505, 22.598356, 23.425713 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.950001, "volume": 23902323, "typical_volume": 32373156.85, "trend": 24.34504, "fair_value": 16.982574, "relative_strength": -3.651551, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.51189, "energy": 45.229814, "activity_lines": [ 21.580667, 21.903665, 22.55316, 23.340485 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }