{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0da2e54a-ca0e-41dd-bfbd-7ea81f878983", "symbol": "301111", "name": "Guangdong Lifestrong Pharmacy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.854, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.563, "architecture_energy": 45.739, "architecture_maturity": 9.08, "architecture_confidence": 71.285, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.64, "rotation_up": 14.17, "upward_expansion": 21.54, "deceleration": 54.74, "rotation_down": 68.26, "downward_expansion": 48.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.968667, 21.305052, 22.852779, 22.524069 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.18, "trend_reference": 22.139328, "distance_from_trend": -0.0885, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.360649, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09909, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.817097, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.000496, "excess_performance": -0.006904, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0885, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052229, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.09909, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152067, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.038171, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035306, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.000496, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.204861, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23392645, "relative_activity": 0.856388, "balance": 1.204861, "dry_up": 0.972853, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.197254, "annualized_volatility": 0.635896, "from_high_reference": -0.356505, "from_low_reference": 0.338196 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.139328, "fair_value_reference": 18.360649, "structural_low": 15.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.013665, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.03898, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.384328, "worst_return": -0.107278, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.080903, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.051755, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.253731, "worst_return": -0.091926, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.175426, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.175981, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.214825, "worst_return": 0.136028, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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"end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.035566, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.077135, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.122975, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.134765, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.029259, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.013882, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"volume": 25868053, "typical_volume": 26593729.65, "trend": 22.177662, "fair_value": 18.365444, "relative_strength": -14.513357, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.392274, "energy": 35.613617, "activity_lines": [ 20.717333, 23.4002, 23.568159, 22.947208 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.540001, "volume": 24976168, "typical_volume": 26800432.75, "trend": 22.100995, "fair_value": 18.353728, "relative_strength": -12.170748, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.522797, "energy": 41.997164, "activity_lines": [ 19.114667, 21.998666, 23.079159, 22.648004 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.18, "volume": 23392645, "typical_volume": 27315464.4, "trend": 22.139328, "fair_value": 18.360649, "relative_strength": -3.817097, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.563054, "energy": 45.739058, "activity_lines": [ 18.968667, 21.305052, 22.852779, 22.524069 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }