{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0dba069f-a75a-4edc-927f-99c4c30c5d98",
    "symbol": "CSNDX",
    "name": "iShares VII PLC - iShares NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.568,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 47.854,
    "architecture_energy": 30.214,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.55,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.813,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.23,
        "rotation_up": 28.94,
        "upward_expansion": 58.72,
        "deceleration": 88.31,
        "rotation_down": 31.91,
        "downward_expansion": 20.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        1618.229676
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 1706.599976,
    "trend_reference": 1559.426668,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094377,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1220.208977,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.398613,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.691475,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.192759,
    "excess_performance": 0.109876,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094377,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05251,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.398613,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053084,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026915,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129806,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.192759,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.622535,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 19130,
      "relative_activity": 1.462393,
      "balance": 1.622535,
      "dry_up": 1.267038,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033769,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.199285,
      "from_high_reference": -0.024466,
      "from_low_reference": 0.303345
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1559.426668,
      "fair_value_reference": 1220.208977,
      "structural_low": 1323.199951,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.016908,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006171,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.105063,
        "worst_return": -0.091304,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.071457,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007629,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.14669,
        "worst_return": -0.148263,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.117541,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.080839,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.21327,
        "worst_return": -0.029661,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.206501,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.333412,
        "worst_return": -0.246933,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "return": -0.066145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.070725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 1540.853337,
        "fair_value": 1205.530131,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1628.400024,
        "volume": 11033,
        "typical_volume": 12576.5,
        "trend": 1546.713338,
        "fair_value": 1210.315387,
        "relative_strength": -0.444427,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.598186,
        "energy": 29.805433,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1611.199951,
        "volume": 23502,
        "typical_volume": 12789.4,
        "trend": 1551.640002,
        "fair_value": 1214.898079,
        "relative_strength": -1.639801,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.051015,
        "energy": 26.840495,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1706.599976,
        "volume": 19130,
        "typical_volume": 13081.3,
        "trend": 1559.426668,
        "fair_value": 1220.208977,
        "relative_strength": 2.691475,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.854301,
        "energy": 30.214116,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}